Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 410 game sample- PTS
- 18.3
- SOG
- 67.0
- G
- 2.7
- A
- 15.6
- PPP
- 0.1
- HIT
- 62.4
- BLK
- 99.0
- PIM
- 19.9
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 410 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 410 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 410 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.22
- G
- 0.03
- A
- 0.19
- SOG
- 0.81
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 0.76
- BLK
- 1.21
- PIM
- 0.24
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 0.21 | 61 | 17:45 |
| 2024-25 | 80 | 3 | 19 | 22 | 0.28 | 69 | 19:32 |
| 2023-24 | 80 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 0.20 | 69 | 17:01 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 1 | 24 | 25 | 0.30 | 82 | 20:38 |
| 2021-22 | 76 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 0.24 | 91 | 21:49 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 16:28 |
| 2024-25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 29:22 |
| 2021-22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 36:35 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26 | vs COLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:25 |
| Apr 23 | vs COLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:35 |
| Apr 21 | @ COLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:52 |
| Apr 19 | @ COLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13:58 |
| Apr 16 | @ CGY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16:08 |
| Apr 14 | @ VAN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:15 |
| Apr 13 | @ SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:25 |
| Apr 11 | vs EDM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:55 |
| Apr 9 | vs VAN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 17:27 |
| Apr 6 | vs NSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:03 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 2.9 | 2 | minus 0.9 goals above expected | 59 | 102 |
| 2024-25 | 3.9 | 3 | minus 0.9 goals above expected | 62 | 107 |
| 2023-24 | 3.2 | 6 | plus 2.8 goals above expected | 57 | 114 |
| 2022-23 | 4.3 | 1 | minus 3.3 goals above expected | 64 | 120 |
| 2021-22 | 4.2 | 3 | minus 1.2 goals above expected | 63 | 135 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 2 goals, 14 assists, 16 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2024-25 | 3 goals, 19 assists, 22 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 6 goals, 10 assists, 16 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 1 goal, 22 assists, 23 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points |
| 2021-22 | 3 goals, 15 assists, 18 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
102 attempts · 2 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.