Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 392 game sample- PTS
- 23.5
- SOG
- 80.5
- G
- 9.7
- A
- 13.8
- PPP
- 0.1
- HIT
- 160.3
- BLK
- 71.9
- PIM
- 62.9
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 392 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 392 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 392 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.29
- G
- 0.12
- A
- 0.17
- SOG
- 0.98
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 1.96
- BLK
- 0.88
- PIM
- 0.77
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 75 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 0.28 | 66 | 14:32 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 0.33 | 86 | 15:11 |
| 2023-24 | 64 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 0.34 | 61 | 15:12 |
| 2022-23 | 65 | 13 | 12 | 25 | 0.38 | 62 | 13:21 |
| 2021-22 | 64 | 10 | 14 | 24 | 0.38 | 90 | 14:16 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0.18 | 25 | 13:30 |
| 2024-25 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 10 | 15:08 |
| 2023-24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 13:57 |
| 2021-22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.33 | 8 | 12:10 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 | vs CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:29 |
| Jun 11 | @ CARPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15:05 |
| Jun 9 | vs CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:33 |
| Jun 6 | vs CARPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 19:40 |
| Jun 4 | @ CARPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12:06 |
| Jun 2 | @ CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:14 |
| May 26 | vs COLPO | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:57 |
| May 24 | vs COLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:20 |
| May 22 | @ COLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:03 |
| May 20 | @ COLPO | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:18 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 8.0 | 5 | minus 3.0 goals above expected | 57 | 106 |
| 2024-25 | 12.1 | 14 | plus 1.9 goals above expected | 61 | 130 |
| 2023-24 | 8.1 | 12 | plus 3.9 goals above expected | 48 | 86 |
| 2022-23 | 9.1 | 13 | plus 3.9 goals above expected | 44 | 84 |
| 2021-22 | 8.5 | 10 | plus 1.5 goals above expected | 52 | 113 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 4 goals, 16 assists, 20 points | 0-0-0 | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2024-25 | 12 goals, 13 assists, 25 points | 0-0-0 | 2 goals, 0 assists, 2 points |
| 2023-24 | 12 goals, 10 assists, 22 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 13 goals, 11 assists, 24 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2021-22 | 9 goals, 13 assists, 22 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
Shot locations
106 attempts · 5 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.