Fri, Sep 18, 2026

Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Brenden Dillon

NJD·D#5

vsWSH

Latest captured market

Apr 2 · 7:30 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 411 game sample

PTS: 17.1
SOG: 59.9
G: 3.4

A: 13.7
PPP: 0.1
HIT: 207.0
BLK: 106.6
PIM: 82.8

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 411 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among defencemen · 508 ranked

Production

Points

Goals

Assists

Shots

PP Points

Style & role

Hits

Blocks

PIM

Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 411 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 411 games incl. playoffs

PTS: 0.21
G: 0.04
A: 0.17
SOG: 0.73
PPP: 0.00
HIT: 2.53
BLK: 1.30
PIM: 1.01

Season totals

regular season

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2025-26	82	3	12	15	0.18	55	18:00
2024-25	82	2	14	16	0.20	48	18:35
2023-24	77	8	12	20	0.26	79	18:44
2022-23	82	2	21	23	0.28	83	19:35
2021-22	79	3	17	20	0.25	85	18:50

Playoffs

postseason only

Season	GP	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2024-25	1	0	0	0.00	0	8:53
2023-24	3	3	3	1.00	1	21:04
2022-23	5	1	1	0.20	7	22:35

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Apr 2 lineG 0/10PPP 0/10

Date	Opp	SOG	HIT	BLK	PIM	TOI
Apr 14	@ BOS	2	2	1	0	19:37
Apr 12	vs OTT	0	4	4	0	20:58
Apr 11	@ DET	2	1	1	0	20:52
Apr 9	vs PIT	0	2	0	0	21:24
Apr 7	vs PHI	1	3	0	0	17:32
Apr 5	@ MTL	0	2	0	17	14:07
Apr 4	vs MTL	0	0	0	4	15:15
Apr 2	vs WSH	1	1	0	2	18:44
Mar 31	@ NYR	0	7	0	2	17:37
Mar 29	vs CHI	2	0	2	0	19:31

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season

Season	xG	G	GAx	GP	Att
2025-26	2.0	3	plus 1.0 goals above expected	49	84
2024-25	2.9	2	minus 0.9 goals above expected	53	99
2023-24	3.0	8	plus 5.0 goals above expected	67	121
2022-23	3.5	2	minus 1.5 goals above expected	73	126
2021-22	4.5	3	minus 1.5 goals above expected	64	130

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season

Season	Even strength	Power play	Shorthanded
2025-26	3 goals, 11 assists, 14 points	0-0-0	0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point
2024-25	2 goals, 13 assists, 15 points	0-0-0	0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point
2023-24	8 goals, 12 assists, 20 points	0-0-0	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2022-23	2 goals, 20 assists, 22 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points	0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point
2021-22	3 goals, 17 assists, 20 points	0-0-0	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points

Shot locations

84 attempts · 3 goals · 2025-26

Missed the net (29)Shot on goal (52)Goal (3)

Markets · Apr 2

modeled projections

Anytime goal

Line

0.5

Proj

0.0

P(over)

Assists

No line posted.

PPP

Power-play points

Line

0.5

Proj

0.0

P(over)

HITS

Hits

No line posted.

BLK

Blocked shots

No line posted.

PIM

Penalty minutes

No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.