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Justin Holl

Justin Holl

WSH·DJersey number #4
Played for STL in the game shown
STL@LAK
Latest captured market
Apr 1 · 9:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 282 game sample
PTS
13.3
SOG
51.5
G
3.0
A
10.3
PPP
0.1
HIT
78.7
BLK
92.9
PIM
33.4

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 282 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among defencemen · 508 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 282 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 282 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.16
G
0.03
A
0.12
SOG
0.61
PPP
0.00
HIT
0.96
BLK
1.14
PIM
0.41

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-2691120.22715:40
2024-25732680.114114:47
2023-24380550.131415:05
2022-2380216180.236020:14
2021-2269320230.336420:13

Playoffs

postseason only
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2022-2380110.13619:46
2021-2250110.20316:50

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Apr 1 lineG 2/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Apr 16@ UTA100010018:04
Apr 1@ LAK100000213:07
Mar 30@ SJS100001014:35
Mar 28vs TOR110010016:21
Mar 24vs WSH100011015:30
Mar 21@ VAN000012018:47
Mar 15@ WPG100000212:42
Mar 13vs EDM100011216:13
Mar 8@ ANA001000015:44
Apr 17@ TOR411014017:52

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-260.31plus 0.7 goals above expected810
2024-251.92plus 0.1 goals above expected5077
2023-240.60minus 0.6 goals above expected2027
2022-232.92minus 0.9 goals above expected4675
2021-223.83minus 0.8 goals above expected5290

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-261 goal, 1 assist, 2 points0-0-00-0-0
2024-252 goals, 6 assists, 8 points0-0-00 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2023-240 goals, 5 assists, 5 points0-0-00 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2022-232 goals, 16 assists, 18 points0-0-00 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2021-222 goals, 18 assists, 20 points0-0-01 goal, 2 assists, 3 points

Shot locations

10 attempts · 1 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (3)Shot on goal (6)Goal (1)

Markets · Apr 1

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
4%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
3%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.