ODDPUCK
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Tyler Pitlick

Tyler Pitlick

MIN·FJersey number #19
vsSTL
Latest captured market
Mar 1 · 5:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 166 game sample
PTS
9.2
SOG
70.9
G
5.3
A
3.8
PPP
0.2
HIT
186.8
BLK
45.8
PIM
43.9

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 166 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 166 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 166 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.11
G
0.06
A
0.04
SOG
0.85
PPP
0.00
HIT
2.30
BLK
0.55
PIM
0.54

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26322020.06267:46
2023-24341340.123210:12
2022-236179160.265410:05
2021-22391450.133610:56

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Mar 1 lineG 1/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Mar 1vs STL00002207:04
Feb 4@ NSH00004008:19
Feb 2vs MTL00002008:00
Jan 31@ EDM11002109:56
Jan 22vs DET00002207:36
Jan 20@ MTL00001106:13
Jan 19@ TOR10003007:25
Jan 17@ BUF20004006:08
Jan 15vs WPG30000008:19
Dec 18@ CBJ20002128:10

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Mar 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-262.42minus 0.4 goals above expected2141
2023-243.21minus 2.2 goals above expected2647
2022-235.87plus 1.2 goals above expected3979
2021-223.61minus 2.6 goals above expected3154

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-262 goals, 0 assists, 2 points0-0-00-0-0
2023-241 goal, 3 assists, 4 points0-0-00-0-0
2022-237 goals, 9 assists, 16 points0-0-00 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2021-221 goal, 4 assists, 5 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points

Shot locations

41 attempts · 2 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (15)Shot on goal (24)Goal (2)

Markets · Mar 1

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
9%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
3%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.