Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 428 game sample- PTS
- 60.8
- SOG
- 195.6
- G
- 30.0
- A
- 30.9
- PPP
- 13.8
- HIT
- 44.9
- BLK
- 60.4
- PIM
- 33.4
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 428 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this finishing edge probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 428 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 428 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.74
- G
- 0.37
- A
- 0.38
- SOG
- 2.39
- PPP
- 0.17
- HIT
- 0.54
- BLK
- 0.74
- PIM
- 0.41
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 81 | 33 | 32 | 65 | 0.80 | 186 | 19:39 |
| 2024-25 | 80 | 26 | 30 | 56 | 0.70 | 193 | 18:55 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 34 | 35 | 69 | 0.84 | 250 | 18:05 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 36 | 39 | 75 | 0.91 | 222 | 18:26 |
| 2021-22 | 72 | 37 | 22 | 59 | 0.82 | 171 | 17:41 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.23 | 24 | 18:08 |
| 2024-25 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0.57 | 13 | 16:52 |
| 2023-24 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0.80 | 7 | 20:01 |
| 2022-23 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0.83 | 15 | 17:38 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26 | @ VGKPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19:18 |
| May 24 | @ VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19:02 |
| May 22 | vs VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18:06 |
| May 20 | vs VGKPO | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18:15 |
| May 13 | vs MINPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16:17 |
| May 11 | @ MINPO | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:00 |
| May 9 | @ MINPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:52 |
| May 5 | vs MINPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18:42 |
| May 3 | vs MINPO | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17:16 |
| Apr 26 | @ LAKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14:52 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 29.0 | 33 | plus 4.0 goals above expected | 78 | 269 |
| 2024-25 | 22.9 | 26 | plus 3.1 goals above expected | 77 | 280 |
| 2023-24 | 29.1 | 34 | plus 4.9 goals above expected | 82 | 332 |
| 2022-23 | 27.9 | 36 | plus 8.1 goals above expected | 79 | 298 |
| 2021-22 | 23.9 | 37 | plus 13.1 goals above expected | 61 | 211 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running hot is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 23 goals, 23 assists, 46 points | 10 goals, 8 assists, 18 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2024-25 | 20 goals, 26 assists, 46 points | 3 goals, 4 assists, 7 points | 3 goals, 0 assists, 3 points |
| 2023-24 | 24 goals, 24 assists, 48 points | 9 goals, 10 assists, 19 points | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points |
| 2022-23 | 30 goals, 28 assists, 58 points | 6 goals, 11 assists, 17 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2021-22 | 26 goals, 19 assists, 45 points | 11 goals, 3 assists, 14 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
269 attempts · 33 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.