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Kevin Hayes

Kevin Hayes

PIT·FJersey number #13
Club as of this player’s most recent priced game
Latest captured market
Mar 3 · 7:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 300 game sample
PTS
31.4
SOG
146.6
G
14.7
A
16.7
PPP
6.2
HIT
68.5
BLK
21.0
PIM
17.5

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 300 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 300 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 300 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.38
G
0.18
A
0.20
SOG
1.79
PPP
0.08
HIT
0.83
BLK
0.25
PIM
0.21

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26284480.294512:28
2024-25641310230.369812:03
2023-24791316290.3715314:28
2022-23811836540.6720917:34
2021-22481021310.6512617:55

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Mar 3 lineG 1/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Apr 14@ STL202000014:01
Apr 12@ WSH200000013:55
Apr 11vs WSH110000214:51
Mar 3@ BOS00004207:26
Feb 5@ BUF10001007:07
Jan 11@ BOS100011010:19
Jan 10vs CGY10001027:45
Dec 23@ TOR000020011:54
Dec 21vs MTL20001109:26
Dec 20@ MTL200010213:44

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Mar 3 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-264.74minus 0.7 goals above expected2564
2024-2512.913plus 0.1 goals above expected55156
2023-2414.613minus 1.6 goals above expected74207
2022-2316.418plus 1.6 goals above expected78295
2021-2210.710minus 0.7 goals above expected46160

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-264 goals, 4 assists, 8 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-0
2024-259 goals, 6 assists, 15 points4 goals, 3 assists, 7 points0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point
2023-2413 goals, 11 assists, 24 points0 goals, 5 assists, 5 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2022-2312 goals, 26 assists, 38 points6 goals, 10 assists, 16 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2021-228 goals, 18 assists, 26 points2 goals, 2 assists, 4 points0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point

Shot locations

64 attempts · 4 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (19)Shot on goal (41)Goal (4)

Markets · Mar 3

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
11%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
4%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.