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Dylan McIlrath

Dylan McIlrath

WSH·DJersey number #52
vsUTA
Latest captured market
Mar 3 · 7:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 43 game sample
PTS
6.0
SOG
40.1
G
0.6
A
5.5
PPP
0.3
HIT
170.5
BLK
62.1
PIM
95.5

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 43 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among defencemen · 508 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 43 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 43 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.06
G
0.00
A
0.06
SOG
0.44
PPP
0.00
HIT
2.11
BLK
0.76
PIM
1.19

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26130000.0059:19
2024-25170220.121011:40
2023-2430110.33110:18
2022-2360110.17111:41

Playoffs

postseason only
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2023-2440000.00111:33

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Mar 3 lineG 0/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Apr 14@ CBJ100032013:04
Mar 3vs UTA00000106:55
Jan 31vs CAR20003009:15
Jan 27@ SEA000031011:53
Jan 15vs SJS00002006:05
Jan 13vs MTL00001055:58
Jan 7vs DAL00002106:08
Jan 5vs ANA00000055:42
Dec 31vs NYR100032011:18
Dec 7vs CBJ000020010:01

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Mar 3 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-260.30minus 0.3 goals above expected710
2024-250.40minus 0.4 goals above expected1021
2023-240.00minus 0.0 goals above expected23
2022-230.20minus 0.2 goals above expected510

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-260 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-00-0-0
2024-250 goals, 2 assists, 2 points0-0-00-0-0
2023-240 goals, 1 assist, 1 point0-0-00-0-0
2022-230 goals, 1 assist, 1 point0-0-00-0-0

Shot locations

10 attempts · 0 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (5)Shot on goal (5)Goal (0)

Markets · Mar 3

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
3%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
2%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.