Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 349 game sample- PTS
- 30.1
- SOG
- 129.9
- G
- 5.5
- A
- 24.6
- PPP
- 0.3
- HIT
- 196.8
- BLK
- 102.7
- PIM
- 86.2
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 349 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 349 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 349 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.37
- G
- 0.07
- A
- 0.30
- SOG
- 1.58
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 2.41
- BLK
- 1.26
- PIM
- 1.06
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 79 | 5 | 26 | 31 | 0.39 | 128 | 17:47 |
| 2024-25 | 48 | 1 | 14 | 15 | 0.31 | 65 | 18:02 |
| 2023-24 | 76 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 0.33 | 123 | 17:47 |
| 2022-23 | 27 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 0.37 | 41 | 17:41 |
| 2021-22 | 67 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 0.24 | 92 | 18:59 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.33 | 12 | 15:21 |
| 2024-25 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.43 | 18 | 18:50 |
| 2023-24 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 0.64 | 25 | 20:23 |
| 2022-23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 11:47 |
| 2021-22 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0.40 | 39 | 17:11 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26 | @ VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14:58 |
| May 24 | @ VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:20 |
| May 22 | vs VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16:45 |
| May 20 | vs VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19:02 |
| May 13 | vs MINPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:19 |
| May 11 | @ MINPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:39 |
| Apr 23 | @ LAKPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:57 |
| Apr 21 | vs LAKPO | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16:14 |
| Apr 19 | vs LAKPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:56 |
| Apr 11 | vs VGK | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:46 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6.7 | 5 | minus 1.7 goals above expected | 71 | 178 |
| 2024-25 | 2.5 | 1 | minus 1.5 goals above expected | 42 | 93 |
| 2023-24 | 6.5 | 8 | plus 1.5 goals above expected | 68 | 178 |
| 2022-23 | 2.2 | 2 | minus 0.2 goals above expected | 24 | 51 |
| 2021-22 | 4.6 | 6 | plus 1.4 goals above expected | 55 | 122 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 5 goals, 26 assists, 31 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 1 goal, 12 assists, 13 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2023-24 | 7 goals, 16 assists, 23 points | 0-0-0 | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points |
| 2022-23 | 2 goals, 8 assists, 10 points | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2021-22 | 6 goals, 10 assists, 16 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
178 attempts · 5 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.