Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 358 game sample- PTS
- 13.7
- SOG
- 92.5
- G
- 3.9
- A
- 9.8
- PPP
- 0.1
- HIT
- 136.8
- BLK
- 177.0
- PIM
- 58.0
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 358 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 358 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 358 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.17
- G
- 0.05
- A
- 0.12
- SOG
- 1.13
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 1.67
- BLK
- 2.17
- PIM
- 0.71
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 80 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 0.13 | 94 | 17:41 |
| 2024-25 | 77 | 3 | 17 | 20 | 0.26 | 82 | 17:17 |
| 2023-24 | 71 | 1 | 12 | 13 | 0.18 | 100 | 16:57 |
| 2022-23 | 77 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 0.18 | 84 | 14:29 |
| 2021-22 | 43 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.07 | 32 | 13:05 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 6 | 15:05 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9 | vs CARPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15:11 |
| May 7 | vs CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17:36 |
| May 4 | @ CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17:54 |
| May 2 | @ CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13:15 |
| Apr 29 | vs PITPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16:50 |
| Apr 27 | @ PITPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:13 |
| Apr 25 | vs PITPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:20 |
| Apr 22 | vs PITPO | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:08 |
| Apr 20 | @ PITPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 15:25 |
| Apr 18 | @ PITPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:04 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 4.2 | 4 | minus 0.2 goals above expected | 64 | 151 |
| 2024-25 | 3.5 | 3 | minus 0.5 goals above expected | 62 | 145 |
| 2023-24 | 3.2 | 1 | minus 2.2 goals above expected | 58 | 150 |
| 2022-23 | 3.0 | 4 | plus 1.0 goals above expected | 58 | 109 |
| 2021-22 | 1.2 | 1 | minus 0.2 goals above expected | 30 | 48 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 4 goals, 6 assists, 10 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 3 goals, 17 assists, 20 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 1 goal, 8 assists, 9 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 4 assists, 4 points |
| 2022-23 | 4 goals, 9 assists, 13 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2021-22 | 1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
151 attempts · 4 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.