Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 380 game sample- PTS
- 21.6
- SOG
- 103.9
- G
- 7.6
- A
- 14.0
- PPP
- 0.1
- HIT
- 130.9
- BLK
- 46.8
- PIM
- 44.2
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 380 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 380 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 380 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.26
- G
- 0.09
- A
- 0.17
- SOG
- 1.26
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 1.60
- BLK
- 0.57
- PIM
- 0.54
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 6 | 16 | 22 | 0.27 | 110 | 13:20 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 0.21 | 88 | 11:46 |
| 2023-24 | 62 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 0.29 | 92 | 13:44 |
| 2022-23 | 71 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 0.28 | 100 | 15:04 |
| 2021-22 | 77 | 14 | 16 | 30 | 0.39 | 121 | 15:52 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.33 | 3 | 12:39 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1 | vs BUFPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:40 |
| Apr 28 | @ BUFPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:30 |
| Apr 26 | vs BUFPO | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:59 |
| Apr 23 | vs BUFPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10:41 |
| Apr 21 | @ BUFPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:48 |
| Apr 19 | @ BUFPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:16 |
| Apr 14 | vs NJD | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:53 |
| Apr 12 | @ CBJ | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:54 |
| Apr 11 | vs TBL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:02 |
| Apr 7 | @ CAR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:15 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 9.7 | 6 | minus 3.7 goals above expected | 67 | 159 |
| 2024-25 | 10.1 | 6 | minus 4.1 goals above expected | 70 | 144 |
| 2023-24 | 8.9 | 9 | plus 0.1 goals above expected | 53 | 126 |
| 2022-23 | 12.7 | 11 | minus 1.7 goals above expected | 64 | 145 |
| 2021-22 | 13.7 | 14 | plus 0.3 goals above expected | 70 | 161 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 goals, 16 assists, 22 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 6 goals, 11 assists, 17 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 9 goals, 8 assists, 17 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2022-23 | 9 goals, 8 assists, 17 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points |
| 2021-22 | 14 goals, 14 assists, 28 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
Shot locations
159 attempts · 6 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.