Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 310 game sample- PTS
- 21.1
- SOG
- 99.6
- G
- 3.7
- A
- 17.3
- PPP
- 1.4
- HIT
- 114.6
- BLK
- 119.8
- PIM
- 29.5
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 310 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 310 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 310 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.26
- G
- 0.04
- A
- 0.21
- SOG
- 1.21
- PPP
- 0.02
- HIT
- 1.40
- BLK
- 1.46
- PIM
- 0.36
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 2 | 21 | 23 | 0.28 | 104 | 18:29 |
| 2024-25 | 73 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 0.27 | 91 | 20:35 |
| 2023-24 | 53 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0.11 | 46 | 16:40 |
| 2022-23 | 61 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 0.21 | 69 | 19:34 |
| 2021-22 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0.25 | 32 | 19:35 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 7 | 17:48 |
| 2024-25 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 2 | 23:14 |
| 2023-24 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | 7 | 18:40 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26 | vs COLPO | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17:08 |
| Apr 23 | vs COLPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18:59 |
| Apr 21 | @ COLPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:03 |
| Apr 19 | @ COLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17:02 |
| Apr 16 | @ CGY | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:44 |
| Apr 14 | @ VAN | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18:48 |
| Apr 13 | @ SEA | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16:39 |
| Apr 11 | vs EDM | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 19:56 |
| Apr 9 | vs VAN | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:03 |
| Apr 6 | vs NSH | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:55 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 4.7 | 2 | minus 2.7 goals above expected | 71 | 165 |
| 2024-25 | 3.4 | 6 | plus 2.6 goals above expected | 61 | 156 |
| 2023-24 | 2.2 | 1 | minus 1.2 goals above expected | 36 | 72 |
| 2022-23 | 2.6 | 2 | minus 0.6 goals above expected | 45 | 92 |
| 2021-22 | 1.1 | 3 | plus 1.9 goals above expected | 20 | 41 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 2 goals, 18 assists, 20 points | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2024-25 | 6 goals, 13 assists, 19 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 1 goal, 5 assists, 6 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 2 goals, 10 assists, 12 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2021-22 | 3 goals, 3 assists, 6 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
165 attempts · 2 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.