Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 149 game sample- PTS
- 54.2
- SOG
- 190.9
- G
- 23.5
- A
- 30.7
- PPP
- 10.7
- HIT
- 146.9
- BLK
- 47.4
- PIM
- 67.6
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 149 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 149 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 149 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.66
- G
- 0.29
- A
- 0.38
- SOG
- 2.34
- PPP
- 0.13
- HIT
- 1.80
- BLK
- 0.58
- PIM
- 0.83
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 60 | 14 | 21 | 35 | 0.58 | 132 | 16:25 |
| 2021-22 | 51 | 30 | 29 | 59 | 1.16 | 150 | 20:19 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 0.85 | 37 | 19:19 |
| 2024-25 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0.80 | 10 | 17:13 |
| 2021-22 | 20 | 11 | 11 | 22 | 1.10 | 56 | 20:58 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26 | @ VGKPO | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19:48 |
| May 24 | @ VGKPO | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:04 |
| May 22 | vs VGKPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20:16 |
| May 20 | vs VGKPO | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:21 |
| May 13 | vs MINPO | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 24:44 |
| May 11 | @ MINPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19:20 |
| May 9 | @ MINPO | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20:40 |
| May 5 | vs MINPO | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19:54 |
| May 3 | vs MINPO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:00 |
| Apr 26 | @ LAKPO | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14:58 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 21.2 | 14 | minus 7.2 goals above expected | 56 | 209 |
| 2021-22 | 21.8 | 30 | plus 8.2 goals above expected | 51 | 194 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 12 goals, 19 assists, 31 points | 2 goals, 2 assists, 4 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2021-22 | 23 goals, 21 assists, 44 points | 7 goals, 8 assists, 15 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
209 attempts · 14 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.