Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 447 game sample- PTS
- 32.3
- SOG
- 141.0
- G
- 7.3
- A
- 25.0
- PPP
- 6.2
- HIT
- 70.7
- BLK
- 86.0
- PIM
- 41.3
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 447 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 447 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 447 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.39
- G
- 0.09
- A
- 0.30
- SOG
- 1.72
- PPP
- 0.08
- HIT
- 0.86
- BLK
- 1.05
- PIM
- 0.50
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 3 | 23 | 26 | 0.32 | 111 | 22:37 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 10 | 23 | 33 | 0.40 | 156 | 21:53 |
| 2023-24 | 80 | 13 | 34 | 47 | 0.59 | 185 | 21:17 |
| 2022-23 | 81 | 18 | 20 | 38 | 0.47 | 188 | 21:49 |
| 2021-22 | 82 | 9 | 30 | 39 | 0.48 | 184 | 21:08 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 0.82 | 24 | 21:22 |
| 2022-23 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0.27 | 28 | 23:46 |
| 2021-22 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.21 | 32 | 21:20 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16 | vs ANA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20:40 |
| Apr 13 | vs SJS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23:02 |
| Apr 11 | vs MIN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 24:10 |
| Apr 9 | @ UTA | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22:47 |
| Apr 7 | @ ANA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 23:19 |
| Apr 6 | @ LAK | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22:45 |
| Apr 4 | @ SJS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 25:14 |
| Apr 2 | @ LAK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 24:59 |
| Mar 29 | @ TBL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 22:46 |
| Mar 28 | vs MTL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:02 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 7 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 7.1 | 3 | minus 4.1 goals above expected | 73 | 170 |
| 2024-25 | 7.1 | 10 | plus 2.9 goals above expected | 76 | 216 |
| 2023-24 | 9.2 | 13 | plus 3.8 goals above expected | 76 | 282 |
| 2022-23 | 10.1 | 18 | plus 7.9 goals above expected | 77 | 285 |
| 2021-22 | 8.9 | 9 | plus 0.1 goals above expected | 78 | 253 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 2 goals, 19 assists, 21 points | 0 goals, 3 assists, 3 points | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points |
| 2024-25 | 8 goals, 15 assists, 23 points | 2 goals, 8 assists, 10 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 11 goals, 20 assists, 31 points | 1 goal, 11 assists, 12 points | 1 goal, 3 assists, 4 points |
| 2022-23 | 13 goals, 17 assists, 30 points | 4 goals, 3 assists, 7 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2021-22 | 9 goals, 30 assists, 39 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
170 attempts · 3 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 7
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.