Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 445 game sample- PTS
- 31.8
- SOG
- 127.8
- G
- 12.8
- A
- 19.1
- PPP
- 0.0
- HIT
- 118.0
- BLK
- 51.2
- PIM
- 37.2
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 445 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 445 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 445 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.39
- G
- 0.16
- A
- 0.23
- SOG
- 1.56
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 1.44
- BLK
- 0.62
- PIM
- 0.45
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 77 | 12 | 17 | 29 | 0.38 | 109 | 14:50 |
| 2024-25 | 79 | 15 | 21 | 36 | 0.46 | 112 | 15:18 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 14 | 18 | 32 | 0.39 | 148 | 14:39 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 13 | 21 | 34 | 0.41 | 162 | 15:38 |
| 2021-22 | 59 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 0.25 | 77 | 11:12 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0.26 | 39 | 16:10 |
| 2024-25 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0.40 | 15 | 16:22 |
| 2023-24 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0.36 | 20 | 15:39 |
| 2022-23 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 0.80 | 42 | 18:12 |
| 2021-22 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 9 | 9:57 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 | @ VGKPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16:01 |
| Jun 11 | vs VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:29 |
| Jun 9 | @ VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13:48 |
| Jun 6 | @ VGKPO | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20:41 |
| Jun 4 | vs VGKPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:25 |
| Jun 2 | vs VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:35 |
| May 29 | vs MTLPO | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13:33 |
| May 27 | @ MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15:21 |
| May 25 | @ MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17:33 |
| May 23 | vs MTLPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16:10 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 7 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 16.3 | 12 | minus 4.3 goals above expected | 70 | 191 |
| 2024-25 | 16.7 | 15 | minus 1.7 goals above expected | 71 | 198 |
| 2023-24 | 16.9 | 14 | minus 2.9 goals above expected | 78 | 237 |
| 2022-23 | 20.4 | 13 | minus 7.4 goals above expected | 80 | 248 |
| 2021-22 | 7.8 | 6 | minus 1.8 goals above expected | 50 | 121 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 9 goals, 17 assists, 26 points | 0-0-0 | 3 goals, 0 assists, 3 points |
| 2024-25 | 15 goals, 20 assists, 35 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2023-24 | 13 goals, 18 assists, 31 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2022-23 | 12 goals, 20 assists, 32 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points |
| 2021-22 | 6 goals, 9 assists, 15 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
191 attempts · 12 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 7
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.