Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 412 game sample- PTS
- 22.5
- SOG
- 95.3
- G
- 8.9
- A
- 13.6
- PPP
- 3.0
- HIT
- 143.3
- BLK
- 66.0
- PIM
- 30.8
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 412 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 412 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 412 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.27
- G
- 0.11
- A
- 0.17
- SOG
- 1.16
- PPP
- 0.04
- HIT
- 1.75
- BLK
- 0.80
- PIM
- 0.37
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 66 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 0.17 | 74 | 12:30 |
| 2024-25 | 72 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 0.29 | 80 | 14:22 |
| 2023-24 | 81 | 15 | 20 | 35 | 0.43 | 131 | 16:34 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 12 | 18 | 30 | 0.37 | 87 | 15:50 |
| 2021-22 | 79 | 7 | 21 | 28 | 0.35 | 87 | 16:10 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 22 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0.36 | 21 | 13:49 |
| 2023-24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | 10 | 16:59 |
| 2021-22 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.50 | 6 | 16:07 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 | vs CARPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:11 |
| Jun 11 | @ CARPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12:43 |
| Jun 9 | vs CARPO | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:33 |
| Jun 6 | vs CARPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:47 |
| Jun 4 | @ CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:22 |
| Jun 2 | @ CARPO | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:01 |
| May 26 | vs COLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11:53 |
| May 24 | vs COLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:27 |
| May 22 | @ COLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:43 |
| May 20 | @ COLPO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11:28 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 9.6 | 6 | minus 3.6 goals above expected | 55 | 111 |
| 2024-25 | 10.0 | 7 | minus 3.0 goals above expected | 58 | 122 |
| 2023-24 | 20.4 | 15 | minus 5.4 goals above expected | 73 | 204 |
| 2022-23 | 13.1 | 12 | minus 1.1 goals above expected | 65 | 136 |
| 2021-22 | 11.1 | 7 | minus 4.1 goals above expected | 62 | 134 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 goals, 3 assists, 9 points | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 7 goals, 13 assists, 20 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 9 goals, 15 assists, 24 points | 3 goals, 4 assists, 7 points | 3 goals, 1 assist, 4 points |
| 2022-23 | 11 goals, 16 assists, 27 points | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2021-22 | 6 goals, 18 assists, 24 points | 1 goal, 3 assists, 4 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
111 attempts · 6 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.