Fri, Sep 18, 2026

Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Alexander Kerfoot

NSH·F#15

Played for UTA in the game shown

UTA@SEA

Latest captured market

Apr 2 · 10:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 385 game sample

PTS: 32.5
SOG: 94.4
G: 12.6

A: 19.9
PPP: 2.8
HIT: 72.7
BLK: 65.2
PIM: 33.5

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 385 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Points

Goals

Assists

Shots

PP Points

Style & role

Hits

Blocks

PIM

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 385 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 385 games incl. playoffs

PTS: 0.40
G: 0.15
A: 0.24
SOG: 1.15
PPP: 0.03
HIT: 0.88
BLK: 0.79
PIM: 0.41

Season totals

regular season

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2025-26	34	7	6	13	0.38	28	12:47
2024-25	81	11	17	28	0.35	101	15:15
2023-24	82	13	32	45	0.55	103	17:26
2022-23	82	10	22	32	0.39	133	14:37
2021-22	82	13	38	51	0.62	117	15:13

Playoffs

postseason only

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2025-26	6	0	1	1	0.17	5	17:01
2022-23	11	2	0	2	0.18	13	14:11
2021-22	7	1	1	2	0.29	12	15:28

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Apr 2 lineG 1/10PPP 0/10

Date	Opp	SOG	G	A	HIT	BLK	PIM	TOI
May 1	vs VGKPO	1	0	0	2	0	2	15:01
Apr 29	@ VGKPO	1	0	1	4	1	0	19:11
Apr 27	vs VGKPO	1	0	0	2	2	0	21:40
Apr 24	vs VGKPO	0	0	0	0	0	2	14:33
Apr 21	@ VGKPO	1	0	0	2	0	0	16:13
Apr 19	@ VGKPO	1	0	0	2	0	2	15:24
Apr 16	vs STL	0	0	0	1	2	0	16:29
Apr 14	vs WPG	3	1	0	2	0	0	15:54
Apr 12	@ CGY	0	0	0	1	0	0	15:01
Apr 11	vs CAR	0	0	0	1	1	0	15:36

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season

Season	xG	G	GAx	GP	Att
2025-26	3.8	7	plus 3.2 goals above expected	25	46
2024-25	14.3	11	minus 3.3 goals above expected	69	147
2023-24	15.6	13	minus 2.6 goals above expected	68	162
2022-23	16.4	10	minus 6.4 goals above expected	68	175
2021-22	13.6	13	minus 0.6 goals above expected	70	159

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season

Season	Even strength	Power play	Shorthanded
2025-26	7 goals, 5 assists, 12 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points	0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point
2024-25	9 goals, 16 assists, 25 points	0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point	2 goals, 0 assists, 2 points
2023-24	9 goals, 21 assists, 30 points	2 goals, 10 assists, 12 points	2 goals, 1 assist, 3 points
2022-23	7 goals, 20 assists, 27 points	2 goals, 1 assist, 3 points	1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points
2021-22	13 goals, 35 assists, 48 points	0-0-0	0 goals, 3 assists, 3 points

Shot locations

46 attempts · 7 goals · 2025-26

Missed the net (18)Shot on goal (21)Goal (7)

Markets · Apr 2

modeled projections

Anytime goal

Line

0.5

Proj

0.1

P(over)

Assists

No line posted.

PPP

Power-play points

Line

0.5

Proj

0.0

P(over)

HITS

Hits

No line posted.

BLK

Blocked shots

No line posted.

PIM

Penalty minutes

No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.