Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 325 game sample- PTS
- 18.8
- SOG
- 105.3
- G
- 8.7
- A
- 10.1
- PPP
- 0.1
- HIT
- 192.5
- BLK
- 75.5
- PIM
- 94.3
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 325 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 325 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 325 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.23
- G
- 0.11
- A
- 0.12
- SOG
- 1.28
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 2.35
- BLK
- 0.92
- PIM
- 1.15
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 79 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 0.22 | 109 | 14:02 |
| 2024-25 | 74 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 0.19 | 80 | 13:46 |
| 2023-24 | 70 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 0.31 | 94 | 12:46 |
| 2022-23 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0.13 | 39 | 10:32 |
| 2021-22 | 51 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 0.27 | 51 | 10:23 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0.36 | 14 | 14:59 |
| 2023-24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 7 | 13:10 |
| 2021-22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 11:19 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13 | @ COLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17:31 |
| May 11 | vs COLPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:15 |
| May 9 | vs COLPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:30 |
| May 5 | @ COLPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15:48 |
| May 3 | @ COLPO | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14:22 |
| Apr 30 | vs DALPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:41 |
| Apr 28 | @ DALPO | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14:41 |
| Apr 25 | vs DALPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16:49 |
| Apr 22 | vs DALPO | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20:36 |
| Apr 20 | @ DALPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12:52 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 12.3 | 8 | minus 4.3 goals above expected | 68 | 171 |
| 2024-25 | 9.0 | 5 | minus 4.0 goals above expected | 58 | 124 |
| 2023-24 | 10.7 | 12 | plus 1.3 goals above expected | 63 | 143 |
| 2022-23 | 4.1 | 2 | minus 2.1 goals above expected | 26 | 55 |
| 2021-22 | 4.9 | 7 | plus 2.1 goals above expected | 36 | 67 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 goals, 9 assists, 15 points | 0-0-0 | 2 goals, 0 assists, 2 points |
| 2024-25 | 5 goals, 9 assists, 14 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 12 goals, 10 assists, 22 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 2 goals, 1 assist, 3 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2021-22 | 6 goals, 6 assists, 12 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
Shot locations
171 attempts · 8 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.