Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 378 game sample- PTS
- 55.5
- SOG
- 178.7
- G
- 27.2
- A
- 28.2
- PPP
- 6.7
- HIT
- 76.5
- BLK
- 44.7
- PIM
- 26.9
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 378 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 378 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 378 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.68
- G
- 0.33
- A
- 0.34
- SOG
- 2.18
- PPP
- 0.08
- HIT
- 0.93
- BLK
- 0.54
- PIM
- 0.33
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 70 | 21 | 27 | 48 | 0.69 | 153 | 18:29 |
| 2024-25 | 69 | 27 | 18 | 45 | 0.65 | 148 | 20:23 |
| 2023-24 | 45 | 16 | 18 | 34 | 0.76 | 103 | 18:28 |
| 2022-23 | 64 | 21 | 30 | 51 | 0.80 | 150 | 20:27 |
| 2021-22 | 74 | 19 | 19 | 38 | 0.51 | 155 | 15:06 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0.55 | 18 | 17:14 |
| 2024-25 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0.57 | 21 | 19:13 |
| 2023-24 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 1.00 | 34 | 22:11 |
| 2022-23 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0.86 | 13 | 20:46 |
| 2021-22 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 0.70 | 43 | 17:07 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26 | @ VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:30 |
| May 24 | @ VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:15 |
| May 22 | vs VGKPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16:23 |
| May 20 | vs VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15:42 |
| May 9 | @ MINPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15:30 |
| May 5 | vs MINPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19:29 |
| May 3 | vs MINPO | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19:20 |
| Apr 26 | @ LAKPO | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17:06 |
| Apr 23 | @ LAKPO | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17:55 |
| Apr 21 | vs LAKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17:46 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 26.3 | 21 | minus 5.3 goals above expected | 64 | 233 |
| 2024-25 | 28.1 | 27 | minus 1.1 goals above expected | 67 | 233 |
| 2023-24 | 16.3 | 16 | minus 0.3 goals above expected | 43 | 136 |
| 2022-23 | 20.1 | 21 | plus 0.9 goals above expected | 61 | 213 |
| 2021-22 | 20.4 | 19 | minus 1.4 goals above expected | 66 | 213 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 20 goals, 26 assists, 46 points | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 25 goals, 14 assists, 39 points | 1 goal, 4 assists, 5 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2023-24 | 9 goals, 13 assists, 22 points | 7 goals, 5 assists, 12 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 12 goals, 18 assists, 30 points | 8 goals, 12 assists, 20 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2021-22 | 15 goals, 18 assists, 33 points | 2 goals, 1 assist, 3 points | 2 goals, 0 assists, 2 points |
Shot locations
233 attempts · 21 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.