Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 333 game sample- PTS
- 58.7
- SOG
- 195.5
- G
- 26.7
- A
- 32.0
- PPP
- 10.3
- HIT
- 89.7
- BLK
- 36.0
- PIM
- 22.7
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 333 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 333 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 333 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.72
- G
- 0.33
- A
- 0.39
- SOG
- 2.39
- PPP
- 0.13
- HIT
- 1.09
- BLK
- 0.44
- PIM
- 0.28
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 72 | 17 | 32 | 49 | 0.68 | 160 | 17:44 |
| 2024-25 | 43 | 21 | 13 | 34 | 0.79 | 118 | 19:44 |
| 2023-24 | 54 | 28 | 25 | 53 | 0.98 | 158 | 21:21 |
| 2022-23 | 53 | 17 | 30 | 47 | 0.89 | 158 | 20:16 |
| 2021-22 | 62 | 25 | 27 | 52 | 0.84 | 180 | 19:02 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0.33 | 19 | 15:37 |
| 2024-25 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0.57 | 13 | 19:36 |
| 2023-24 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 1.25 | 24 | 22:31 |
| 2022-23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.50 | 6 | 19:58 |
| 2021-22 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 0.75 | 72 | 20:16 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24 | @ VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:34 |
| May 22 | vs VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:07 |
| May 20 | vs VGKPO | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:39 |
| May 13 | vs MINPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15:32 |
| May 11 | @ MINPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19:09 |
| May 9 | @ MINPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:25 |
| May 5 | vs MINPO | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17:56 |
| May 3 | vs MINPO | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:24 |
| Apr 26 | @ LAKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:38 |
| Apr 23 | @ LAKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:29 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 23.9 | 17 | minus 6.9 goals above expected | 68 | 242 |
| 2024-25 | 19.7 | 21 | plus 1.3 goals above expected | 43 | 170 |
| 2023-24 | 24.4 | 28 | plus 3.6 goals above expected | 52 | 230 |
| 2022-23 | 20.3 | 17 | minus 3.3 goals above expected | 52 | 210 |
| 2021-22 | 21.7 | 25 | plus 3.3 goals above expected | 61 | 227 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 15 goals, 29 assists, 44 points | 1 goal, 3 assists, 4 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2024-25 | 16 goals, 10 assists, 26 points | 5 goals, 3 assists, 8 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 11 goals, 18 assists, 29 points | 16 goals, 5 assists, 21 points | 1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points |
| 2022-23 | 6 goals, 22 assists, 28 points | 10 goals, 6 assists, 16 points | 1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points |
| 2021-22 | 18 goals, 23 assists, 41 points | 5 goals, 4 assists, 9 points | 2 goals, 0 assists, 2 points |
Shot locations
242 attempts · 17 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.