Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 424 game sample- PTS
- 22.5
- SOG
- 108.1
- G
- 4.3
- A
- 18.3
- PPP
- 0.1
- HIT
- 205.5
- BLK
- 97.8
- PIM
- 156.0
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 424 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 424 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 424 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.27
- G
- 0.05
- A
- 0.22
- SOG
- 1.32
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 2.51
- BLK
- 1.19
- PIM
- 1.91
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 81 | 2 | 20 | 22 | 0.27 | 107 | 20:53 |
| 2024-25 | 81 | 4 | 18 | 22 | 0.27 | 105 | 20:37 |
| 2023-24 | 75 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 0.27 | 90 | 17:26 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 0.26 | 130 | 18:41 |
| 2021-22 | 74 | 4 | 18 | 22 | 0.30 | 106 | 16:55 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 6 | 19:35 |
| 2023-24 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0.62 | 21 | 20:09 |
| 2021-22 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.25 | 21 | 18:08 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1 | vs BUFPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21:52 |
| Apr 28 | @ BUFPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 23:11 |
| Apr 26 | vs BUFPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 19:20 |
| Apr 23 | vs BUFPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:32 |
| Apr 21 | @ BUFPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15:53 |
| Apr 19 | @ BUFPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:42 |
| Apr 14 | vs NJD | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 |
| Apr 12 | @ CBJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23:27 |
| Apr 11 | vs TBL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:29 |
| Apr 7 | @ CAR | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18:41 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 5.2 | 2 | minus 3.2 goals above expected | 68 | 165 |
| 2024-25 | 5.4 | 4 | minus 1.4 goals above expected | 70 | 164 |
| 2023-24 | 3.5 | 6 | plus 2.5 goals above expected | 65 | 155 |
| 2022-23 | 7.4 | 14 | plus 6.6 goals above expected | 73 | 174 |
| 2021-22 | 5.3 | 4 | minus 1.3 goals above expected | 61 | 166 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 2 goals, 20 assists, 22 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 4 goals, 16 assists, 20 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points |
| 2023-24 | 6 goals, 13 assists, 19 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2022-23 | 14 goals, 6 assists, 20 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2021-22 | 3 goals, 18 assists, 21 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
165 attempts · 2 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.