Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 429 game sample- PTS
- 43.0
- SOG
- 143.6
- G
- 8.1
- A
- 34.9
- PPP
- 3.4
- HIT
- 47.0
- BLK
- 109.2
- PIM
- 29.5
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 429 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 429 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 429 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.52
- G
- 0.10
- A
- 0.43
- SOG
- 1.75
- PPP
- 0.04
- HIT
- 0.57
- BLK
- 1.33
- PIM
- 0.36
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 68 | 3 | 21 | 24 | 0.35 | 115 | 22:22 |
| 2024-25 | 76 | 10 | 34 | 44 | 0.58 | 138 | 24:35 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 12 | 38 | 50 | 0.61 | 159 | 23:26 |
| 2022-23 | 80 | 7 | 43 | 50 | 0.63 | 165 | 25:07 |
| 2021-22 | 66 | 13 | 44 | 57 | 0.86 | 158 | 25:22 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 0.85 | 18 | 25:39 |
| 2024-25 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0.57 | 5 | 24:34 |
| 2023-24 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0.60 | 18 | 25:12 |
| 2022-23 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 1.29 | 12 | 23:45 |
| 2021-22 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 0.75 | 44 | 25:53 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26 | @ VGKPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 24:31 |
| May 24 | @ VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:14 |
| May 22 | vs VGKPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 28:59 |
| May 20 | vs VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27:32 |
| May 13 | vs MINPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29:45 |
| May 11 | @ MINPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 28:25 |
| May 9 | @ MINPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:34 |
| May 5 | vs MINPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23:26 |
| May 3 | vs MINPO | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27:35 |
| Apr 26 | @ LAKPO | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:50 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 7.2 | 3 | minus 4.2 goals above expected | 62 | 168 |
| 2024-25 | 8.4 | 10 | plus 1.6 goals above expected | 72 | 216 |
| 2023-24 | 8.0 | 12 | plus 4.0 goals above expected | 76 | 219 |
| 2022-23 | 9.1 | 7 | minus 2.1 goals above expected | 73 | 214 |
| 2021-22 | 8.0 | 13 | plus 5.0 goals above expected | 61 | 202 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 2 goals, 21 assists, 23 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 9 goals, 33 assists, 42 points | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 12 goals, 31 assists, 43 points | 0 goals, 5 assists, 5 points | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points |
| 2022-23 | 6 goals, 37 assists, 43 points | 1 goal, 6 assists, 7 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2021-22 | 11 goals, 34 assists, 45 points | 2 goals, 10 assists, 12 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
168 attempts · 3 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.