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Dakota Joshua

Dakota Joshua

TOR·FJersey number #81
Latest captured market
Apr 2 · 10:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 298 game sample
PTS
27.6
SOG
80.8
G
14.7
A
12.9
PPP
1.1
HIT
287.9
BLK
45.1
PIM
67.2

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 298 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 298 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 298 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.34
G
0.18
A
0.16
SOG
0.98
PPP
0.01
HIT
3.53
BLK
0.55
PIM
0.82

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-2655108180.335212:15
2024-255777140.255212:58
2023-24631814320.518414:23
2022-23791112230.297111:31
2021-22303580.27318:29

Playoffs

postseason only
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2023-24134480.62915:50
2021-2210000.0008:36

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Apr 2 lineG 2/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Apr 8vs WSH10002008:30
Apr 4@ LAK001010210:38
Apr 2@ SJS200040414:29
Mar 30@ ANA000050014:20
Mar 28@ STL101030015:03
Mar 25vs NYR111061214:31
Mar 24@ BOS500020712:58
Mar 21@ OTT000030010:47
Mar 20vs CAR210010011:25
Mar 17vs NYI000060211:26

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-269.710plus 0.3 goals above expected3980
2024-259.57minus 2.5 goals above expected3984
2023-2414.018plus 4.0 goals above expected54122
2022-2310.611plus 0.4 goals above expected5590
2021-225.13minus 2.1 goals above expected2141

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-2610 goals, 8 assists, 18 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-0
2024-255 goals, 6 assists, 11 points1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point
2023-2417 goals, 14 assists, 31 points1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2022-239 goals, 12 assists, 21 points1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point
2021-223 goals, 5 assists, 8 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-0

Shot locations

80 attempts · 10 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (28)Shot on goal (42)Goal (10)

Markets · Apr 2

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.3
P(over)
24%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
4%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.