Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 358 game sample- PTS
- 15.6
- SOG
- 70.5
- G
- 1.2
- A
- 14.4
- PPP
- 0.1
- HIT
- 103.9
- BLK
- 138.3
- PIM
- 50.6
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 358 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 358 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 358 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.19
- G
- 0.01
- A
- 0.18
- SOG
- 0.85
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 1.27
- BLK
- 1.69
- PIM
- 0.62
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 0 | 16 | 16 | 0.20 | 60 | 19:29 |
| 2024-25 | 55 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 0.16 | 52 | 19:36 |
| 2023-24 | 57 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 0.16 | 63 | 19:20 |
| 2022-23 | 80 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 0.26 | 84 | 20:09 |
| 2021-22 | 70 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 0.20 | 92 | 20:34 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 26:31 |
| 2022-23 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.27 | 8 | 20:47 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14 | @ BOS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19:52 |
| Apr 12 | vs OTT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:14 |
| Apr 11 | @ DET | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 22:36 |
| Apr 9 | vs PIT | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:04 |
| Apr 7 | vs PHI | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:15 |
| Apr 5 | @ MTL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 23:41 |
| Apr 4 | vs MTL | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18:55 |
| Apr 2 | vs WSH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 18:27 |
| Mar 31 | @ NYR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16:01 |
| Mar 29 | vs CHI | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20:37 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 3.0 | 0 | minus 3.0 goals above expected | 52 | 101 |
| 2024-25 | 2.4 | 2 | minus 0.4 goals above expected | 40 | 82 |
| 2023-24 | 3.0 | 1 | minus 2.0 goals above expected | 46 | 88 |
| 2022-23 | 3.0 | 4 | plus 1.0 goals above expected | 64 | 136 |
| 2021-22 | 3.3 | 1 | minus 2.3 goals above expected | 57 | 121 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 0 goals, 14 assists, 14 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points |
| 2024-25 | 2 goals, 7 assists, 9 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 1 goal, 7 assists, 8 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2022-23 | 3 goals, 17 assists, 20 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2021-22 | 1 goal, 12 assists, 13 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
Shot locations
101 attempts · 0 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.