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Jansen Harkins

Jansen Harkins

TBL·FJersey number #10
Played for ANA in the game shown
ANAvsCGY
Latest captured market
Mar 1 · 8:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 253 game sample
PTS
12.5
SOG
70.2
G
5.0
A
7.5
PPP
0.1
HIT
181.8
BLK
43.7
PIM
39.1

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 253 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 253 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 253 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.15
G
0.06
A
0.09
SOG
0.85
PPP
0.00
HIT
2.23
BLK
0.53
PIM
0.48

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26443580.18379:35
2024-25622460.104910:56
2023-24450440.09378:13
2022-23223250.231810:49
2021-227776130.17679:29

Playoffs

postseason only
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-2631010.3359:12

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Mar 1 lineG 1/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
May 14vs VGKPO10001006:04
May 8vs VGKPO300061011:48
May 6@ VGKPO11004009:44
Mar 24@ VAN00000002:05
Mar 22vs BUF20003008:36
Mar 20@ UTA000012108:18
Mar 18vs PHI10003054:06
Mar 15@ MTL30003008:05
Mar 14@ OTT10003108:16
Mar 12@ TOR00102006:45

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Mar 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-265.13minus 2.1 goals above expected3160
2024-254.22minus 2.2 goals above expected4065
2023-242.60minus 2.6 goals above expected2947
2022-232.53plus 0.5 goals above expected1425
2021-227.17minus 0.1 goals above expected53100

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-263 goals, 5 assists, 8 points0-0-00-0-0
2024-252 goals, 4 assists, 6 points0-0-00 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2023-240 goals, 4 assists, 4 points0-0-00-0-0
2022-233 goals, 2 assists, 5 points0-0-00-0-0
2021-227 goals, 6 assists, 13 points0-0-00-0-0

Shot locations

60 attempts · 3 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (23)Shot on goal (34)Goal (3)

Markets · Mar 1

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.2
P(over)
15%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
5%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.