Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 454 game sample- PTS
- 18.6
- SOG
- 71.1
- G
- 7.3
- A
- 11.3
- PPP
- 0.1
- HIT
- 275.1
- BLK
- 44.4
- PIM
- 53.4
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 454 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 454 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 454 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.23
- G
- 0.09
- A
- 0.14
- SOG
- 0.86
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 3.37
- BLK
- 0.54
- PIM
- 0.65
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 0.21 | 67 | 11:32 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 12 | 18 | 30 | 0.37 | 88 | 13:11 |
| 2023-24 | 79 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 0.23 | 73 | 10:52 |
| 2022-23 | 74 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 0.24 | 63 | 11:28 |
| 2021-22 | 77 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 0.31 | 94 | 12:39 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 13 | 10:14 |
| 2024-25 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 7 | 11:22 |
| 2023-24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 11:07 |
| 2022-23 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0.23 | 10 | 9:49 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11 | @ CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:54 |
| Jun 9 | vs CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6:17 |
| Jun 6 | vs CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:49 |
| Jun 4 | @ CARPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:07 |
| Jun 2 | @ CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:43 |
| May 26 | vs COLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:43 |
| May 24 | vs COLPO | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:19 |
| May 22 | @ COLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9:13 |
| May 20 | @ COLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:02 |
| May 14 | @ ANAPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:54 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 7.7 | 6 | minus 1.7 goals above expected | 65 | 105 |
| 2024-25 | 11.2 | 12 | plus 0.8 goals above expected | 64 | 136 |
| 2023-24 | 7.1 | 8 | plus 0.9 goals above expected | 58 | 105 |
| 2022-23 | 7.5 | 8 | plus 0.5 goals above expected | 50 | 87 |
| 2021-22 | 10.3 | 7 | minus 3.3 goals above expected | 55 | 117 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 goals, 10 assists, 16 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2024-25 | 12 goals, 17 assists, 29 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2023-24 | 7 goals, 9 assists, 16 points | 0-0-0 | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points |
| 2022-23 | 8 goals, 10 assists, 18 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2021-22 | 5 goals, 17 assists, 22 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
Shot locations
105 attempts · 6 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.