Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 411 game sample- PTS
- 33.4
- SOG
- 103.7
- G
- 13.0
- A
- 20.4
- PPP
- 3.8
- HIT
- 95.0
- BLK
- 47.0
- PIM
- 38.2
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 411 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 411 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 411 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.41
- G
- 0.16
- A
- 0.25
- SOG
- 1.26
- PPP
- 0.05
- HIT
- 1.16
- BLK
- 0.57
- PIM
- 0.47
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 74 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 0.34 | 76 | 14:28 |
| 2024-25 | 71 | 15 | 16 | 31 | 0.44 | 107 | 15:13 |
| 2023-24 | 70 | 13 | 28 | 41 | 0.59 | 112 | 15:27 |
| 2022-23 | 65 | 14 | 16 | 30 | 0.46 | 101 | 16:18 |
| 2021-22 | 78 | 15 | 24 | 39 | 0.50 | 145 | 16:15 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0.46 | 16 | 12:01 |
| 2024-25 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0.36 | 11 | 14:23 |
| 2023-24 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 13:32 |
| 2022-23 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 0.50 | 37 | 15:01 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26 | @ VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:39 |
| May 24 | @ VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11:17 |
| May 22 | vs VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:39 |
| May 20 | vs VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12:40 |
| May 13 | vs MINPO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14:33 |
| May 11 | @ MINPO | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:29 |
| May 9 | @ MINPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:39 |
| May 5 | vs MINPO | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:37 |
| May 3 | vs MINPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:05 |
| Apr 26 | @ LAKPO | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:29 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Mar 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 12.0 | 8 | minus 4.0 goals above expected | 62 | 120 |
| 2024-25 | 14.9 | 15 | plus 0.1 goals above expected | 56 | 151 |
| 2023-24 | 16.6 | 13 | minus 3.6 goals above expected | 64 | 157 |
| 2022-23 | 14.8 | 14 | minus 0.8 goals above expected | 61 | 139 |
| 2021-22 | 21.3 | 15 | minus 6.3 goals above expected | 69 | 196 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 goals, 16 assists, 22 points | 2 goals, 0 assists, 2 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2024-25 | 13 goals, 14 assists, 27 points | 2 goals, 2 assists, 4 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 11 goals, 22 assists, 33 points | 1 goal, 6 assists, 7 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2022-23 | 11 goals, 12 assists, 23 points | 3 goals, 3 assists, 6 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2021-22 | 13 goals, 20 assists, 33 points | 2 goals, 3 assists, 5 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
Shot locations
120 attempts · 8 goals · 2025-26Markets · Mar 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.