Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 329 game sample- PTS
- 12.5
- SOG
- 85.4
- G
- 2.0
- A
- 10.5
- PPP
- 0.1
- HIT
- 319.3
- BLK
- 113.4
- PIM
- 97.3
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 329 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 329 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 329 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.15
- G
- 0.02
- A
- 0.13
- SOG
- 1.04
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 3.91
- BLK
- 1.39
- PIM
- 1.19
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 68 | 1 | 12 | 13 | 0.19 | 73 | 17:11 |
| 2024-25 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | 25 | 17:58 |
| 2023-24 | 79 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 0.18 | 103 | 18:37 |
| 2022-23 | 67 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 0.18 | 77 | 16:50 |
| 2021-22 | 66 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 0.11 | 75 | 17:40 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 16:37 |
| 2023-24 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 4 | 18:29 |
| 2021-22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 17:02 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 | vs CARPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 15:27 |
| Jun 11 | @ CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:36 |
| Jun 9 | vs CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 12:11 |
| Jun 6 | vs CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 25:08 |
| Jun 4 | @ CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 21:08 |
| Jun 2 | @ CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13:32 |
| May 1 | @ UTAPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:42 |
| Apr 29 | vs UTAPO | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19:52 |
| Apr 27 | @ UTAPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 19:03 |
| Apr 24 | @ UTAPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:55 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 4.2 | 1 | minus 3.2 goals above expected | 58 | 121 |
| 2024-25 | 1.0 | 0 | minus 1.0 goals above expected | 22 | 40 |
| 2023-24 | 4.5 | 6 | plus 1.5 goals above expected | 64 | 152 |
| 2022-23 | 4.4 | 3 | minus 1.4 goals above expected | 52 | 112 |
| 2021-22 | 3.3 | 2 | minus 1.3 goals above expected | 50 | 100 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 1 goal, 12 assists, 13 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2023-24 | 6 goals, 8 assists, 14 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 3 goals, 8 assists, 11 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2021-22 | 2 goals, 5 assists, 7 points | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
121 attempts · 1 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.