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Mathieu Joseph

Mathieu Joseph

EDM·FJersey number #21
Played for LAK in the game shown
LAKvsNSH
Latest captured market
Apr 2 · 10:30 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 313 game sample
PTS
22.7
SOG
86.9
G
6.1
A
16.6
PPP
0.3
HIT
166.8
BLK
53.8
PIM
35.4

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 313 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 313 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 313 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.28
G
0.07
A
0.20
SOG
1.06
PPP
0.00
HIT
2.04
BLK
0.65
PIM
0.43

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-265129110.223611:59
2024-2560410140.236911:55
2023-24721124350.4912416:28
2022-2356315180.326614:01
2021-22691218300.438614:12

Playoffs

postseason only
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-2620000.0028:17
2024-2531010.33613:35

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Apr 2 lineG 0/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Apr 21@ COLPO20006109:39
Apr 19@ COLPO00002026:56
Apr 16@ CGY10001108:33
Apr 14@ VAN10002056:22
Apr 13@ SEA00002208:30
Apr 11vs EDM00004106:46
Apr 2vs NSH10004006:47
Apr 1vs STL00003008:32
Mar 28vs UTA00002009:34
Mar 26@ VAN000031012:17

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-265.42minus 3.4 goals above expected3867
2024-257.94minus 3.9 goals above expected46105
2023-2415.011minus 4.0 goals above expected68189
2022-238.73minus 5.7 goals above expected4594
2021-2211.012plus 1.0 goals above expected57125

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-261 goal, 9 assists, 10 points0-0-01 goal, 0 assists, 1 point
2024-253 goals, 10 assists, 13 points0-0-01 goal, 0 assists, 1 point
2023-2410 goals, 23 assists, 33 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points
2022-230 goals, 12 assists, 12 points1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points2 goals, 1 assist, 3 points
2021-2210 goals, 16 assists, 26 points0-0-02 goals, 2 assists, 4 points

Shot locations

67 attempts · 2 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (31)Shot on goal (34)Goal (2)

Markets · Apr 2

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
6%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
5%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.