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Alexandre Carrier

Alexandre Carrier

MTL·DJersey number #45
Latest captured market
Feb 2 · 7:30 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 379 game sample
PTS
25.8
SOG
71.0
G
5.9
A
19.9
PPP
0.3
HIT
63.6
BLK
176.6
PIM
48.7

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 379 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among defencemen · 508 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 379 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 379 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.31
G
0.07
A
0.24
SOG
0.86
PPP
0.00
HIT
0.77
BLK
2.16
PIM
0.59

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-2673715220.305619:05
2024-2579322250.328220:35
2023-2473416200.277718:48
2022-23432790.214817:53
2021-2277327300.399520:59

Playoffs

postseason only
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26191670.37722:01
2024-2551120.40820:44
2023-2461230.50821:07
2021-2240330.75421:22

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Feb 2 lineG 0/10PPP 0/10BLK 7/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
May 29@ CARPO100010019:13
May 27vs CARPO000007023:22
May 25vs CARPO000013024:59
May 23@ CARPO101024022:14
May 21@ CARPO001013219:14
May 18@ BUFPO101015027:03
May 16vs BUFPO0000001217:32
May 14@ BUFPO101014023:27
May 12vs BUFPO000001617:00
May 10vs BUFPO001014024:31

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Feb 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-263.27plus 3.8 goals above expected5293
2024-254.03minus 1.0 goals above expected63121
2023-244.74minus 0.7 goals above expected54120
2022-233.22minus 1.2 goals above expected3767
2021-226.83minus 3.8 goals above expected66135

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-267 goals, 15 assists, 22 points0-0-00 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2024-253 goals, 21 assists, 24 points0-0-00 goals, 1 assist, 1 point
2023-243 goals, 15 assists, 18 points0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point
2022-232 goals, 7 assists, 9 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2021-222 goals, 23 assists, 25 points1 goal, 3 assists, 4 points0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point

Shot locations

93 attempts · 7 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (37)Shot on goal (49)Goal (7)

Markets · Feb 2

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
10%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
5%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
Line
1.5
Proj
2.2
P(over)
60%
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.