Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 406 game sample- PTS
- 23.1
- SOG
- 107.0
- G
- 3.3
- A
- 19.9
- PPP
- 0.3
- HIT
- 135.0
- BLK
- 156.4
- PIM
- 21.7
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 406 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 406 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 406 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.28
- G
- 0.04
- A
- 0.24
- SOG
- 1.30
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 1.65
- BLK
- 1.91
- PIM
- 0.26
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 79 | 2 | 17 | 19 | 0.24 | 94 | 20:37 |
| 2024-25 | 69 | 3 | 21 | 24 | 0.35 | 84 | 19:53 |
| 2023-24 | 81 | 5 | 20 | 25 | 0.31 | 135 | 20:54 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 0.32 | 135 | 18:47 |
| 2021-22 | 67 | 2 | 19 | 21 | 0.31 | 153 | 20:59 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.20 | 7 | 23:52 |
| 2023-24 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.40 | 5 | 19:29 |
| 2022-23 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.50 | 8 | 21:36 |
| 2021-22 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | 14 | 20:54 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14 | @ CBJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:58 |
| Apr 12 | vs PIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19:41 |
| Apr 11 | @ PIT | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 19:53 |
| Apr 8 | @ TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19:13 |
| Apr 5 | @ NYR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18:00 |
| Apr 4 | vs BUF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20:56 |
| Apr 2 | @ NJD | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 17:45 |
| Mar 31 | vs PHI | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19:33 |
| Mar 28 | @ VGK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:26 |
| Mar 26 | @ UTA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19:37 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 4.7 | 2 | minus 2.7 goals above expected | 68 | 145 |
| 2024-25 | 4.5 | 3 | minus 1.5 goals above expected | 61 | 148 |
| 2023-24 | 6.0 | 5 | minus 1.0 goals above expected | 75 | 206 |
| 2022-23 | 6.7 | 9 | plus 2.3 goals above expected | 74 | 187 |
| 2021-22 | 7.3 | 2 | minus 5.3 goals above expected | 62 | 204 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 2 goals, 17 assists, 19 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 3 goals, 21 assists, 24 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 5 goals, 17 assists, 22 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points |
| 2022-23 | 8 goals, 16 assists, 24 points | 0-0-0 | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points |
| 2021-22 | 2 goals, 15 assists, 17 points | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points |
Shot locations
145 attempts · 2 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.