Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 371 game sample- PTS
- 21.0
- SOG
- 113.3
- G
- 4.9
- A
- 16.1
- PPP
- 0.1
- HIT
- 59.6
- BLK
- 80.4
- PIM
- 36.9
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 371 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 371 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 371 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.26
- G
- 0.06
- A
- 0.20
- SOG
- 1.38
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 0.72
- BLK
- 0.98
- PIM
- 0.45
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 72 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 0.24 | 100 | 20:08 |
| 2024-25 | 79 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 0.23 | 114 | 18:53 |
| 2023-24 | 72 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 0.31 | 90 | 15:12 |
| 2022-23 | 78 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 0.18 | 93 | 14:08 |
| 2021-22 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.19 | 25 | 14:47 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 0.42 | 30 | 22:32 |
| 2024-25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 8 | 20:24 |
| 2023-24 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.18 | 15 | 20:12 |
| 2022-23 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0.27 | 16 | 15:27 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 | @ VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 23:37 |
| Jun 11 | vs VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21:04 |
| Jun 9 | @ VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22:51 |
| Jun 6 | @ VGKPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 28:15 |
| Jun 4 | vs VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 24:25 |
| Jun 2 | vs VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 19:24 |
| May 29 | vs MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 21:26 |
| May 27 | @ MTLPO | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18:44 |
| May 25 | @ MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 22:54 |
| May 23 | vs MTLPO | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23:22 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 7 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 4.5 | 2 | minus 2.5 goals above expected | 67 | 169 |
| 2024-25 | 4.8 | 7 | plus 2.2 goals above expected | 70 | 190 |
| 2023-24 | 4.5 | 8 | plus 3.5 goals above expected | 60 | 142 |
| 2022-23 | 4.9 | 6 | plus 1.1 goals above expected | 64 | 146 |
| 2021-22 | 1.0 | 0 | minus 1.0 goals above expected | 15 | 36 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 2 goals, 15 assists, 17 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 7 goals, 10 assists, 17 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2023-24 | 8 goals, 14 assists, 22 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 5 goals, 7 assists, 12 points | 0-0-0 | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points |
| 2021-22 | 0 goals, 3 assists, 3 points | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
169 attempts · 2 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 7
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.