ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026
all players
Carl Grundstrom

Carl Grundstrom

PHI·FJersey number #91
vsDET
Latest captured market
Apr 2 · 7:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 284 game sample
PTS
20.1
SOG
116.6
G
11.7
A
8.4
PPP
0.4
HIT
237.1
BLK
32.0
PIM
31.9

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 284 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 284 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 284 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.24
G
0.14
A
0.10
SOG
1.42
PPP
0.00
HIT
2.91
BLK
0.39
PIM
0.39

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-264794130.285611:51
2024-25563690.16889:36
2023-245084120.249510:56
2022-2357127190.339010:45
2021-225496150.288310:53

Playoffs

postseason only
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-2630110.33412:56
2023-2450000.0045:43
2022-2360110.1769:47
2021-2263140.671414:41

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Apr 2 lineG 1/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
May 9vs CARPO100050014:02
May 7vs CARPO100040011:03
May 4@ CARPO201060213:45
Apr 14vs MTL100030013:10
Apr 5vs BOS100010210:57
Apr 2vs DET00003009:58
Mar 31@ WSH110041010:46
Mar 29vs DAL400010012:18
Mar 28@ DET100020011:22
Mar 26vs CHI200030013:09

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-267.69plus 1.4 goals above expected4291
2024-257.43minus 4.4 goals above expected48119
2023-248.38minus 0.3 goals above expected47134
2022-238.312plus 3.7 goals above expected49132
2021-228.49plus 0.6 goals above expected49114

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-269 goals, 3 assists, 12 points0-0-00 goals, 1 assist, 1 point
2024-253 goals, 6 assists, 9 points0-0-00 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2023-246 goals, 4 assists, 10 points1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point
2022-2311 goals, 7 assists, 18 points1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2021-229 goals, 6 assists, 15 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-0

Shot locations

91 attempts · 9 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (35)Shot on goal (47)Goal (9)

Markets · Apr 2

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.2
P(over)
20%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
5%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.