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Noah Gregor

Noah Gregor

WPG·FJersey number #73
Played for FLA in the game shown
FLAvsBOS
Latest captured market
Apr 2 · 7:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 274 game sample
PTS
17.5
SOG
112.2
G
8.5
A
9.1
PPP
1.4
HIT
128.6
BLK
38.1
PIM
45.2

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 274 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 274 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 274 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.21
G
0.10
A
0.11
SOG
1.37
PPP
0.02
HIT
1.57
BLK
0.46
PIM
0.55

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26374590.24419:34
2024-25524370.136011:07
2023-246366120.1911011:24
2022-2357107170.3011912:58
2021-2263815230.3715614:56

Playoffs

postseason only
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2023-2420000.0018:05

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Apr 2 lineSOG 3/10G 2/10PPP 1/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Apr 15vs DET201100013:43
Apr 13vs NYR100010014:48
Apr 11@ TOR301001015:04
Apr 9@ OTT000011012:32
Apr 7@ MTL100010011:29
Apr 5@ PIT10003008:09
Apr 4@ PIT210001013:28
Apr 2vs BOS100000010:52
Mar 31vs OTT110020159:25
Mar 29@ NYR100011013:29

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-264.64minus 0.6 goals above expected2969
2024-255.54minus 1.5 goals above expected42107
2023-2410.16minus 4.1 goals above expected58156
2022-2312.310minus 2.3 goals above expected53168
2021-2214.58minus 6.5 goals above expected60210

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-264 goals, 4 assists, 8 points0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2024-253 goals, 3 assists, 6 points0-0-01 goal, 0 assists, 1 point
2023-244 goals, 6 assists, 10 points1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point
2022-2310 goals, 6 assists, 16 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point
2021-228 goals, 12 assists, 20 points0 goals, 3 assists, 3 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points

Shot locations

69 attempts · 4 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (27)Shot on goal (38)Goal (4)

Markets · Apr 2

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.2
P(over)
15%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
4%
SOG
Shots on goal
Line
1.5
Proj
1.3
P(over)
35%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.