Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 306 game sample- PTS
- 14.1
- SOG
- 79.7
- G
- 3.5
- A
- 10.5
- PPP
- 0.1
- HIT
- 51.1
- BLK
- 96.2
- PIM
- 31.7
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 306 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 306 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 306 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.17
- G
- 0.04
- A
- 0.13
- SOG
- 0.97
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 0.62
- BLK
- 1.18
- PIM
- 0.39
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 64 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 0.22 | 64 | 19:11 |
| 2024-25 | 66 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0.11 | 55 | 13:52 |
| 2023-24 | 54 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 0.13 | 51 | 18:07 |
| 2022-23 | 81 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 0.17 | 88 | 16:22 |
| 2021-22 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.10 | 50 | 16:40 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 7 | 14:12 |
| 2021-22 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1.00 | 9 | 16:58 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15 | @ OTT | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:09 |
| Apr 13 | vs DAL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:41 |
| Apr 11 | vs FLA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19:46 |
| Apr 9 | @ NYI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:57 |
| Apr 4 | @ LAK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 21:10 |
| Mar 30 | @ ANA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:06 |
| Mar 28 | @ STL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 17:43 |
| Mar 25 | vs NYR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:38 |
| Mar 24 | @ BOS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:59 |
| Mar 21 | @ OTT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:19 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Feb 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 3.3 | 3 | minus 0.3 goals above expected | 51 | 106 |
| 2024-25 | 2.0 | 3 | plus 1.0 goals above expected | 46 | 81 |
| 2023-24 | 3.3 | 1 | minus 2.3 goals above expected | 43 | 83 |
| 2022-23 | 4.1 | 3 | minus 1.1 goals above expected | 58 | 113 |
| 2021-22 | 1.6 | 1 | minus 0.6 goals above expected | 26 | 68 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 3 goals, 11 assists, 14 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 3 goals, 4 assists, 7 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 1 goal, 6 assists, 7 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 3 goals, 11 assists, 14 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2021-22 | 1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
106 attempts · 3 goals · 2025-26Markets · Feb 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.