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Zachary Aston-Reese

Zachary Aston-Reese

PHI·FJersey number #27
Played for CBJ in the game shown
CBJvsBUF
Latest captured market
Jan 3 · 3:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 261 game sample
PTS
16.6
SOG
84.9
G
5.8
A
10.8
PPP
0.1
HIT
204.0
BLK
54.7
PIM
31.0

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 261 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 261 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 261 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.20
G
0.07
A
0.13
SOG
1.03
PPP
0.00
HIT
2.50
BLK
0.67
PIM
0.38

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26271450.19179:44
2024-2579611170.2210113:26
2023-2430000.0015:10
2022-2377104140.188910:56
2021-2269510150.227813:02

Playoffs

postseason only
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2022-2361010.1748:53

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Jan 3 lineG 1/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Apr 4vs WPG000070012:54
Jan 20vs OTT00003107:42
Jan 17@ PIT11005127:32
Jan 8@ VGK000061010:26
Jan 6@ SJS10000127:39
Jan 4vs PIT00002009:10
Jan 3vs BUF001041012:48
Dec 31vs NJD20004108:48
Dec 29@ OTT00003107:05
Dec 18vs MIN00003128:50

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Jan 3 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-262.21minus 1.2 goals above expected1728
2024-2510.56minus 4.5 goals above expected64141
2023-240.20minus 0.2 goals above expected11
2022-2310.710minus 0.7 goals above expected59139
2021-228.45minus 3.4 goals above expected54102

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-261 goal, 4 assists, 5 points0-0-00 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2024-256 goals, 11 assists, 17 points0-0-00 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2023-240 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-00-0-0
2022-2310 goals, 4 assists, 14 points0-0-00 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2021-225 goals, 10 assists, 15 points0-0-00 goals, 0 assists, 0 points

Shot locations

28 attempts · 1 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (11)Shot on goal (16)Goal (1)

Markets · Jan 3

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
11%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
4%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.