Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 406 game sample- PTS
- 61.5
- SOG
- 174.3
- G
- 10.6
- A
- 50.9
- PPP
- 28.0
- HIT
- 36.9
- BLK
- 130.9
- PIM
- 29.7
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 406 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 406 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 406 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.75
- G
- 0.13
- A
- 0.62
- SOG
- 2.13
- PPP
- 0.34
- HIT
- 0.44
- BLK
- 1.60
- PIM
- 0.36
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 77 | 9 | 54 | 63 | 0.82 | 148 | 25:28 |
| 2024-25 | 50 | 5 | 20 | 25 | 0.50 | 108 | 25:10 |
| 2023-24 | 71 | 9 | 45 | 54 | 0.76 | 162 | 24:32 |
| 2022-23 | 79 | 11 | 62 | 73 | 0.92 | 206 | 25:29 |
| 2021-22 | 70 | 5 | 31 | 36 | 0.51 | 156 | 24:53 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1.00 | 21 | 30:31 |
| 2024-25 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0.50 | 14 | 21:49 |
| 2023-24 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 0.84 | 44 | 28:11 |
| 2022-23 | 19 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 0.63 | 35 | 27:48 |
| 2021-22 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.43 | 20 | 25:35 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30 | @ MINPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28:01 |
| Apr 28 | vs MINPO | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 28:22 |
| Apr 25 | @ MINPO | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 33:33 |
| Apr 22 | @ MINPO | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 43:05 |
| Apr 20 | vs MINPO | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26:06 |
| Apr 18 | vs MINPO | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:55 |
| Apr 9 | vs MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:45 |
| Apr 7 | vs CGY | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27:09 |
| Apr 4 | vs COL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 23:51 |
| Apr 2 | vs WPG | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:34 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 9.6 | 9 | minus 0.6 goals above expected | 72 | 223 |
| 2024-25 | 6.8 | 5 | minus 1.8 goals above expected | 47 | 164 |
| 2023-24 | 10.3 | 9 | minus 1.3 goals above expected | 65 | 239 |
| 2022-23 | 12.8 | 11 | minus 1.8 goals above expected | 76 | 281 |
| 2021-22 | 11.1 | 5 | minus 6.1 goals above expected | 68 | 218 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 goals, 28 assists, 34 points | 2 goals, 26 assists, 28 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2024-25 | 5 goals, 13 assists, 18 points | 0 goals, 7 assists, 7 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 6 goals, 26 assists, 32 points | 2 goals, 19 assists, 21 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2022-23 | 9 goals, 29 assists, 38 points | 2 goals, 32 assists, 34 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2021-22 | 2 goals, 23 assists, 25 points | 3 goals, 8 assists, 11 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
223 attempts · 9 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.