Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 424 game sample- PTS
- 86.2
- SOG
- 234.1
- G
- 24.9
- A
- 61.3
- PPP
- 32.4
- HIT
- 46.3
- BLK
- 135.5
- PIM
- 23.2
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 424 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this finishing edge probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 424 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 424 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 1.05
- G
- 0.30
- A
- 0.75
- SOG
- 2.86
- PPP
- 0.40
- HIT
- 0.56
- BLK
- 1.66
- PIM
- 0.28
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 75 | 20 | 59 | 79 | 1.05 | 199 | 24:51 |
| 2024-25 | 80 | 30 | 62 | 92 | 1.15 | 246 | 25:43 |
| 2023-24 | 77 | 21 | 69 | 90 | 1.17 | 231 | 24:46 |
| 2022-23 | 60 | 17 | 49 | 66 | 1.10 | 176 | 26:23 |
| 2021-22 | 77 | 28 | 58 | 86 | 1.12 | 240 | 25:40 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0.45 | 29 | 25:25 |
| 2024-25 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0.71 | 26 | 26:47 |
| 2023-24 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 1.36 | 36 | 26:58 |
| 2022-23 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0.83 | 20 | 25:40 |
| 2021-22 | 20 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 1.45 | 71 | 27:04 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26 | @ VGKPO | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27:30 |
| May 24 | @ VGKPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 27:14 |
| May 13 | vs MINPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25:50 |
| May 11 | @ MINPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26:09 |
| May 9 | @ MINPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 29:06 |
| May 5 | vs MINPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24:06 |
| May 3 | vs MINPO | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 |
| Apr 26 | @ LAKPO | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:17 |
| Apr 23 | @ LAKPO | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 25:58 |
| Apr 21 | vs LAKPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 28:49 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Mar 8 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 16.8 | 20 | plus 3.2 goals above expected | 74 | 326 |
| 2024-25 | 21.4 | 30 | plus 8.6 goals above expected | 80 | 391 |
| 2023-24 | 17.1 | 21 | plus 3.9 goals above expected | 77 | 351 |
| 2022-23 | 13.1 | 17 | plus 3.9 goals above expected | 60 | 258 |
| 2021-22 | 14.5 | 28 | plus 13.5 goals above expected | 76 | 319 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running hot is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 16 goals, 34 assists, 50 points | 4 goals, 25 assists, 29 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 16 goals, 38 assists, 54 points | 12 goals, 23 assists, 35 points | 2 goals, 1 assist, 3 points |
| 2023-24 | 13 goals, 34 assists, 47 points | 7 goals, 32 assists, 39 points | 1 goal, 3 assists, 4 points |
| 2022-23 | 12 goals, 24 assists, 36 points | 5 goals, 25 assists, 30 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2021-22 | 19 goals, 33 assists, 52 points | 9 goals, 25 assists, 34 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
326 attempts · 20 goals · 2025-26Markets · Mar 8
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.