Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 312 game sample- PTS
- 17.8
- SOG
- 80.0
- G
- 4.0
- A
- 13.8
- PPP
- 0.1
- HIT
- 49.9
- BLK
- 93.0
- PIM
- 21.1
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 312 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 312 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 312 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.22
- G
- 0.05
- A
- 0.17
- SOG
- 0.97
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 0.60
- BLK
- 1.14
- PIM
- 0.26
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 79 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 0.16 | 79 | 19:07 |
| 2024-25 | 74 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 0.26 | 66 | 14:41 |
| 2023-24 | 77 | 2 | 22 | 24 | 0.31 | 57 | 17:05 |
| 2022-23 | 69 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 0.29 | 111 | 15:24 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.20 | 3 | 12:58 |
| 2023-24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 17:38 |
| 2022-23 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.50 | 7 | 18:47 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16 | vs ANA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:40 |
| Apr 13 | vs SJS | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16:15 |
| Apr 11 | vs MIN | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15:08 |
| Apr 9 | @ UTA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21:44 |
| Apr 7 | @ ANA | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 22:12 |
| Apr 6 | @ LAK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14:26 |
| Apr 4 | @ SJS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 23:55 |
| Apr 2 | @ LAK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:02 |
| Mar 29 | @ TBL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14:48 |
| Mar 28 | vs MTL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:00 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 4.5 | 3 | minus 1.5 goals above expected | 63 | 115 |
| 2024-25 | 4.3 | 6 | plus 1.7 goals above expected | 56 | 116 |
| 2023-24 | 3.1 | 2 | minus 1.1 goals above expected | 54 | 87 |
| 2022-23 | 4.6 | 5 | plus 0.4 goals above expected | 60 | 146 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 3 goals, 8 assists, 11 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points |
| 2024-25 | 6 goals, 13 assists, 19 points | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2023-24 | 2 goals, 22 assists, 24 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 5 goals, 15 assists, 20 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
115 attempts · 3 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.