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Alec Regula

Alec Regula

EDM·DJersey number #75
vsPHI
Latest captured market
Jan 3 · 3:30 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 48 game sample
PTS
9.2
SOG
54.7
G
0.6
A
8.6
PPP
0.3
HIT
47.1
BLK
122.9
PIM
95.8

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 48 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among defencemen · 508 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 48 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 48 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.10
G
0.00
A
0.10
SOG
0.64
PPP
0.00
HIT
0.55
BLK
1.52
PIM
1.19

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26290330.101814:28
2022-2340000.00216:36
2021-22151010.071817:53

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Jan 3 lineG 0/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Jan 20vs NJD00000002:35
Jan 12@ CHI200001014:36
Jan 10vs LAK10001109:56
Jan 6vs NSH100003216:08
Jan 3vs PHI000005214:21
Dec 31vs BOS000002010:56
Dec 27@ CGY100003013:06
Dec 23vs CGY0000011215:37
Dec 21vs VGK101002217:00
Dec 16@ PIT001025218:17

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Jan 3 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-260.70minus 0.7 goals above expected1832
2022-230.00minus 0.0 goals above expected23
2021-220.81plus 0.2 goals above expected1024

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-260 goals, 3 assists, 3 points0-0-00-0-0
2022-230 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-00-0-0
2021-221 goal, 0 assists, 1 point0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-0

Shot locations

32 attempts · 0 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (14)Shot on goal (18)Goal (0)

Markets · Jan 3

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
3%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
4%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.