Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 312 game sample- PTS
- 26.1
- SOG
- 105.1
- G
- 10.2
- A
- 15.9
- PPP
- 1.6
- HIT
- 50.5
- BLK
- 51.4
- PIM
- 30.3
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 312 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 312 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 312 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.32
- G
- 0.12
- A
- 0.19
- SOG
- 1.28
- PPP
- 0.02
- HIT
- 0.61
- BLK
- 0.63
- PIM
- 0.37
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 0.33 | 99 | 14:29 |
| 2024-25 | 72 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 0.25 | 93 | 12:55 |
| 2023-24 | 74 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 0.36 | 106 | 12:17 |
| 2022-23 | 38 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0.21 | 69 | 10:47 |
| 2021-22 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.00 | 6 | 15:58 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0.38 | 14 | 10:35 |
| 2024-25 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.29 | 9 | 12:54 |
| 2023-24 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0.45 | 21 | 13:05 |
| 2022-23 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.23 | 23 | 13:55 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26 | @ VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:24 |
| May 24 | @ VGKPO | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:04 |
| May 22 | vs VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9:56 |
| May 20 | vs VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:55 |
| May 13 | vs MINPO | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12:02 |
| May 11 | @ MINPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:46 |
| May 9 | @ MINPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:47 |
| May 5 | vs MINPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:57 |
| May 3 | vs MINPO | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:28 |
| Apr 26 | @ LAKPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13:28 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 14.0 | 10 | minus 4.0 goals above expected | 65 | 152 |
| 2024-25 | 10.7 | 8 | minus 2.7 goals above expected | 57 | 153 |
| 2023-24 | 12.8 | 8 | minus 4.8 goals above expected | 66 | 163 |
| 2022-23 | 6.0 | 2 | minus 4.0 goals above expected | 32 | 88 |
| 2021-22 | 0.8 | 2 | plus 1.2 goals above expected | 2 | 6 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 10 goals, 17 assists, 27 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 7 goals, 9 assists, 16 points | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 6 goals, 14 assists, 20 points | 2 goals, 5 assists, 7 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 2 goals, 5 assists, 7 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0-0-0 |
| 2021-22 | 2 goals, 0 assists, 2 points | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
152 attempts · 10 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 1
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.