Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 356 game sample- PTS
- 30.8
- SOG
- 93.0
- G
- 5.0
- A
- 25.8
- PPP
- 3.5
- HIT
- 99.1
- BLK
- 132.4
- PIM
- 19.6
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 356 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 356 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 356 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.38
- G
- 0.06
- A
- 0.31
- SOG
- 1.13
- PPP
- 0.04
- HIT
- 1.21
- BLK
- 1.62
- PIM
- 0.24
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 73 | 5 | 24 | 29 | 0.40 | 90 | 19:12 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 4 | 26 | 30 | 0.37 | 78 | 19:11 |
| 2023-24 | 68 | 3 | 20 | 23 | 0.34 | 79 | 21:07 |
| 2022-23 | 71 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 0.49 | 81 | 19:20 |
| 2021-22 | 51 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 0.31 | 46 | 16:58 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 12 | 21:18 |
| 2023-24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 20:44 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11 | @ PIT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:35 |
| Apr 8 | @ TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 20:01 |
| Apr 5 | @ NYR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21:06 |
| Apr 4 | vs BUF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20:25 |
| Apr 2 | @ NJD | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18:56 |
| Mar 31 | vs PHI | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21:14 |
| Mar 28 | @ VGK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21:25 |
| Mar 26 | @ UTA | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:42 |
| Mar 24 | @ STL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16:32 |
| Mar 22 | vs COL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20:10 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 8 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 4.9 | 5 | plus 0.1 goals above expected | 61 | 132 |
| 2024-25 | 5.0 | 4 | minus 1.0 goals above expected | 63 | 143 |
| 2023-24 | 4.6 | 3 | minus 1.6 goals above expected | 57 | 111 |
| 2022-23 | 4.0 | 7 | plus 3.0 goals above expected | 57 | 110 |
| 2021-22 | 3.7 | 5 | plus 1.3 goals above expected | 38 | 76 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 5 goals, 23 assists, 28 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 3 goals, 22 assists, 25 points | 1 goal, 4 assists, 5 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 3 goals, 15 assists, 18 points | 0 goals, 5 assists, 5 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 7 goals, 17 assists, 24 points | 0 goals, 11 assists, 11 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2021-22 | 5 goals, 8 assists, 13 points | 0 goals, 3 assists, 3 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
132 attempts · 5 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 8
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.