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Michael Kesselring

Michael Kesselring

SJS·DJersey number #7
Played for BUF in the game shown
BUFvsVGK
Latest captured market
Mar 3 · 7:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 191 game sample
PTS
19.6
SOG
123.9
G
4.3
A
15.3
PPP
1.4
HIT
84.9
BLK
76.4
PIM
97.5

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 191 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among defencemen · 508 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 191 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 191 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.24
G
0.05
A
0.19
SOG
1.51
PPP
0.02
HIT
1.03
BLK
0.93
PIM
1.20

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26340220.064613:24
2024-2582722290.3515017:41
2023-2465516210.327615:47
2022-2390330.33817:05

Playoffs

postseason only
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-2610000.0004:25

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Mar 3 lineG 0/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
May 1@ BOSPO00000004:25
Apr 15vs DAL000010015:03
Apr 8@ NYR300010010:37
Mar 10vs SJS200010015:09
Mar 8vs TBL10100076:03
Mar 7vs NSH100013010:28
Mar 5@ PIT200010012:58
Mar 3vs VGK300000011:19
Feb 28@ TBL00000048:40
Feb 27@ FLA100002212:19

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Mar 3 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-262.10minus 2.1 goals above expected3173
2024-256.77plus 0.3 goals above expected78226
2023-243.85plus 1.2 goals above expected57134
2022-230.50minus 0.5 goals above expected618

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-260 goals, 2 assists, 2 points0-0-00-0-0
2024-256 goals, 20 assists, 26 points1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points0-0-0
2023-245 goals, 16 assists, 21 points0-0-00-0-0
2022-230 goals, 3 assists, 3 points0-0-00-0-0

Shot locations

73 attempts · 0 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (27)Shot on goal (46)Goal (0)

Markets · Mar 3

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
4%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
3%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.