Fri, Sep 18, 2026

Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Kirby Dach

MTL·F#77

@SJS

Latest captured market

Mar 3 · 10:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 243 game sample

PTS: 32.2
SOG: 110.0
G: 16.4

A: 15.8
PPP: 6.7
HIT: 126.5
BLK: 53.2
PIM: 66.8

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 243 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Points

Goals

Assists

Shots

PP Points

Style & role

Hits

Blocks

PIM

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 243 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 243 games incl. playoffs

PTS: 0.39
G: 0.20
A: 0.19
SOG: 1.34
PPP: 0.08
HIT: 1.55
BLK: 0.65
PIM: 0.82

Season totals

regular season

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2025-26	37	8	7	15	0.41	47	13:40
2024-25	57	10	12	22	0.39	84	15:40
2023-24	2	0	2	2	1.00	3	13:01
2022-23	58	14	24	38	0.66	107	18:30
2021-22	70	9	17	26	0.37	116	18:02

Playoffs

postseason only

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2025-26	19	4	1	5	0.26	19	10:28

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Mar 3 lineSOG 3/10G 1/10A 0/10PPP 0/10

Date	Opp	SOG	G	HIT	BLK	PIM	TOI
May 29	@ CARPO	0	0	1	0	0	10:23
May 27	vs CARPO	0	0	2	1	2	8:45
May 25	vs CARPO	0	0	3	1	0	8:03
May 23	@ CARPO	0	0	0	1	0	11:22
May 21	@ CARPO	1	0	1	0	0	10:39
May 18	@ BUFPO	1	0	4	1	0	8:58
May 16	vs BUFPO	2	0	3	0	10	11:24
May 14	@ BUFPO	4	0	3	0	0	9:05
May 12	vs BUFPO	1	0	1	0	0	8:51
May 10	vs BUFPO	4	1	1	0	2	12:12

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Mar 3 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season

Season	xG	G	GAx	GP	Att
2025-26	6.9	8	plus 1.1 goals above expected	31	77
2024-25	11.3	10	minus 1.3 goals above expected	51	124
2023-24	0.2	0	minus 0.2 goals above expected	1	3
2022-23	13.5	14	plus 0.5 goals above expected	57	151
2021-22	14.9	9	minus 5.9 goals above expected	64	157

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season

Season	Even strength	Power play	Shorthanded
2025-26	8 goals, 5 assists, 13 points	0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points	0-0-0
2024-25	9 goals, 6 assists, 15 points	1 goal, 6 assists, 7 points	0-0-0
2023-24	0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points	0-0-0	0-0-0
2022-23	8 goals, 12 assists, 20 points	6 goals, 10 assists, 16 points	0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points
2021-22	7 goals, 12 assists, 19 points	2 goals, 4 assists, 6 points	0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point

Shot locations

77 attempts · 8 goals · 2025-26

Missed the net (30)Shot on goal (39)Goal (8)

Markets · Mar 3

modeled projections

Anytime goal

Line

0.5

Proj

0.1

P(over)

11%

Assists

Line

0.5

Proj

0.3

P(over)

23%

PPP

Power-play points

Line

0.5

Proj

0.1

P(over)

SOG

Shots on goal

Line

1.5

Proj

1.3

P(over)

37%

HITS

Hits

No line posted.

BLK

Blocked shots

No line posted.

PIM

Penalty minutes

No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.