ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026
all players
Nils Hoglander

Nils Hoglander

NSH·FJersey number #21
Played for VAN in the game shown
VAN@COL
Latest captured market
Apr 1 · 8:30 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 286 game sample
PTS
23.3
SOG
95.6
G
10.5
A
12.8
PPP
0.6
HIT
97.9
BLK
21.4
PIM
30.6

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 286 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 286 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 286 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.28
G
0.13
A
0.15
SOG
1.16
PPP
0.01
HIT
1.19
BLK
0.26
PIM
0.37

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26382350.133511:31
2024-2572817250.358312:08
2023-24802412360.4512012:07
2022-23253690.362912:04
2021-2260108180.3013213:05

Playoffs

postseason only
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2023-24111120.18810:00

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Apr 1 lineG 1/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Apr 16@ EDM000020013:36
Apr 14vs LAK201000014:03
Apr 12@ ANA200010015:55
Apr 11@ SJS100030012:20
Apr 9@ LAK100010012:18
Apr 7vs VGK000031012:16
Apr 1@ COL10001006:57
Mar 30@ VGK10001108:53
Mar 28@ CGY11000007:42
Mar 26vs LAK00001009:58

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-264.02minus 2.0 goals above expected3563
2024-2511.28minus 3.2 goals above expected59117
2023-2415.724plus 8.3 goals above expected71174
2022-233.43minus 0.4 goals above expected2240
2021-2215.310minus 5.3 goals above expected57164

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-262 goals, 3 assists, 5 points0-0-00-0-0
2024-258 goals, 16 assists, 24 points0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2023-2424 goals, 12 assists, 36 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-0
2022-233 goals, 6 assists, 9 points0-0-00-0-0
2021-229 goals, 6 assists, 15 points1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points0-0-0

Shot locations

63 attempts · 2 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (28)Shot on goal (33)Goal (2)

Markets · Apr 1

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
9%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
3%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.