Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 329 game sample- PTS
- 43.9
- SOG
- 148.2
- G
- 10.7
- A
- 33.2
- PPP
- 11.1
- HIT
- 51.3
- BLK
- 151.1
- PIM
- 25.6
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 329 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 329 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 329 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.54
- G
- 0.13
- A
- 0.41
- SOG
- 1.81
- PPP
- 0.14
- HIT
- 0.62
- BLK
- 1.85
- PIM
- 0.31
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 70 | 6 | 30 | 36 | 0.51 | 113 | 23:04 |
| 2024-25 | 78 | 16 | 34 | 50 | 0.64 | 171 | 23:23 |
| 2023-24 | 79 | 15 | 32 | 47 | 0.59 | 144 | 21:01 |
| 2022-23 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.33 | 8 | 16:47 |
| 2021-22 | 34 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0.12 | 36 | 13:41 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 15 | 24:16 |
| 2024-25 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 0.78 | 31 | 25:58 |
| 2023-24 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0.21 | 28 | 23:52 |
| 2022-23 | 19 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 0.47 | 23 | 16:10 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30 | @ MINPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 25:25 |
| Apr 28 | vs MINPO | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:23 |
| Apr 25 | @ MINPO | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 28:49 |
| Apr 22 | @ MINPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 29:23 |
| Apr 20 | vs MINPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 19:52 |
| Apr 18 | vs MINPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19:40 |
| Apr 15 | @ BUF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 22:45 |
| Apr 13 | @ TOR | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 24:24 |
| Apr 11 | vs NYR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 26:26 |
| Apr 9 | vs MIN | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25:17 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6.8 | 6 | minus 0.8 goals above expected | 62 | 173 |
| 2024-25 | 10.4 | 16 | plus 5.6 goals above expected | 76 | 249 |
| 2023-24 | 8.4 | 15 | plus 6.6 goals above expected | 73 | 209 |
| 2022-23 | 0.3 | 0 | minus 0.3 goals above expected | 4 | 9 |
| 2021-22 | 2.4 | 1 | minus 1.4 goals above expected | 29 | 60 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 5 goals, 24 assists, 29 points | 1 goal, 6 assists, 7 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 15 goals, 20 assists, 35 points | 1 goal, 14 assists, 15 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 13 goals, 24 assists, 37 points | 1 goal, 8 assists, 9 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2022-23 | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2021-22 | 1 goal, 3 assists, 4 points | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
173 attempts · 6 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.