Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 242 game sample- PTS
- 51.3
- SOG
- 141.9
- G
- 10.2
- A
- 41.2
- PPP
- 13.7
- HIT
- 76.5
- BLK
- 133.9
- PIM
- 23.7
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 242 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 242 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 242 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.63
- G
- 0.12
- A
- 0.50
- SOG
- 1.73
- PPP
- 0.17
- HIT
- 0.93
- BLK
- 1.64
- PIM
- 0.29
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 10 | 48 | 58 | 0.71 | 157 | 24:15 |
| 2024-25 | 75 | 14 | 29 | 43 | 0.57 | 134 | 22:18 |
| 2023-24 | 71 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 0.24 | 55 | 19:23 |
| 2022-23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 18:29 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 0.83 | 21 | 26:53 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14 | vs VGKPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 29:36 |
| May 12 | @ VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30:47 |
| May 10 | vs VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 26:53 |
| May 8 | vs VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 22:49 |
| May 6 | @ VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:23 |
| May 4 | @ VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28:07 |
| Apr 30 | vs EDMPO | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 27:05 |
| Apr 28 | @ EDMPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 28:04 |
| Apr 26 | vs EDMPO | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 29:54 |
| Apr 24 | vs EDMPO | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 26:49 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 12.7 | 10 | minus 2.7 goals above expected | 77 | 237 |
| 2024-25 | 9.5 | 14 | plus 4.5 goals above expected | 69 | 187 |
| 2023-24 | 3.6 | 2 | minus 1.6 goals above expected | 51 | 83 |
| 2022-23 | 0.0 | 0 | minus 0.0 goals above expected | 1 | 1 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 goals, 33 assists, 39 points | 3 goals, 14 assists, 17 points | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points |
| 2024-25 | 12 goals, 21 assists, 33 points | 2 goals, 7 assists, 9 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2023-24 | 2 goals, 12 assists, 14 points | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2022-23 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
237 attempts · 10 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.