Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 318 game sample- PTS
- 17.5
- SOG
- 84.5
- G
- 8.6
- A
- 8.9
- PPP
- 0.1
- HIT
- 239.5
- BLK
- 29.3
- PIM
- 66.0
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 318 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 318 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 318 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.21
- G
- 0.10
- A
- 0.11
- SOG
- 1.03
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 2.93
- BLK
- 0.35
- PIM
- 0.81
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 63 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 0.19 | 69 | 13:17 |
| 2024-25 | 71 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 0.17 | 69 | 13:37 |
| 2023-24 | 80 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 0.29 | 112 | 13:41 |
| 2022-23 | 69 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 0.25 | 64 | 12:44 |
| 2021-22 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 8:50 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0.27 | 14 | 11:47 |
| 2023-24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 13:26 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 | vs CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:43 |
| Jun 11 | @ CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11:39 |
| Jun 9 | vs CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9:50 |
| Jun 6 | vs CARPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 19:19 |
| Jun 4 | @ CARPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:35 |
| Jun 2 | @ CARPO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 11:11 |
| May 26 | vs COLPO | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:20 |
| May 24 | vs COLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:08 |
| May 22 | @ COLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:48 |
| May 20 | @ COLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 11:56 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 11.7 | 8 | minus 3.7 goals above expected | 49 | 112 |
| 2024-25 | 8.5 | 4 | minus 4.5 goals above expected | 49 | 101 |
| 2023-24 | 14.3 | 9 | minus 5.3 goals above expected | 68 | 149 |
| 2022-23 | 9.6 | 4 | minus 5.6 goals above expected | 49 | 97 |
| 2021-22 | 0.3 | 0 | minus 0.3 goals above expected | 2 | 4 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 8 goals, 3 assists, 11 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2024-25 | 4 goals, 7 assists, 11 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2023-24 | 8 goals, 12 assists, 20 points | 0-0-0 | 1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points |
| 2022-23 | 4 goals, 11 assists, 15 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points |
| 2021-22 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
112 attempts · 8 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.