Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 449 game sample- PTS
- 68.8
- SOG
- 224.5
- G
- 32.0
- A
- 36.9
- PPP
- 20.5
- HIT
- 114.8
- BLK
- 46.6
- PIM
- 21.0
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 449 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 449 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 449 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.84
- G
- 0.39
- A
- 0.45
- SOG
- 2.74
- PPP
- 0.25
- HIT
- 1.40
- BLK
- 0.57
- PIM
- 0.25
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 71 | 32 | 34 | 66 | 0.93 | 224 | 18:53 |
| 2024-25 | 73 | 32 | 35 | 67 | 0.92 | 204 | 19:22 |
| 2023-24 | 81 | 33 | 34 | 67 | 0.83 | 176 | 18:45 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 14 | 25 | 39 | 0.48 | 187 | 16:12 |
| 2021-22 | 68 | 17 | 23 | 40 | 0.59 | 110 | 13:53 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 0.58 | 47 | 20:14 |
| 2024-25 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 1.07 | 36 | 19:53 |
| 2023-24 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 0.82 | 25 | 20:35 |
| 2022-23 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 0.67 | 37 | 19:55 |
| 2021-22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0.57 | 32 | 15:02 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 | @ VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18:44 |
| Jun 11 | vs VGKPO | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19:51 |
| Jun 9 | @ VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18:30 |
| Jun 6 | @ VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 27:22 |
| Jun 4 | vs VGKPO | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20:04 |
| Jun 2 | vs VGKPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:40 |
| May 29 | vs MTLPO | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:04 |
| May 27 | @ MTLPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:34 |
| May 25 | @ MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:56 |
| May 23 | vs MTLPO | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20:29 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 7 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 35.4 | 32 | minus 3.4 goals above expected | 71 | 326 |
| 2024-25 | 33.0 | 32 | minus 1.0 goals above expected | 72 | 313 |
| 2023-24 | 28.2 | 33 | plus 4.8 goals above expected | 76 | 261 |
| 2022-23 | 24.3 | 14 | minus 10.3 goals above expected | 79 | 257 |
| 2021-22 | 15.4 | 17 | plus 1.6 goals above expected | 63 | 166 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 23 goals, 16 assists, 39 points | 5 goals, 16 assists, 21 points | 4 goals, 2 assists, 6 points |
| 2024-25 | 20 goals, 21 assists, 41 points | 7 goals, 12 assists, 19 points | 5 goals, 2 assists, 7 points |
| 2023-24 | 19 goals, 26 assists, 45 points | 12 goals, 7 assists, 19 points | 2 goals, 1 assist, 3 points |
| 2022-23 | 13 goals, 20 assists, 33 points | 0 goals, 5 assists, 5 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2021-22 | 15 goals, 19 assists, 34 points | 2 goals, 4 assists, 6 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
326 attempts · 32 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 7
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.