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Justin Barron

Justin Barron

NSH·DJersey number #20
Latest captured market
Apr 2 · 10:30 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 208 game sample
PTS
17.2
SOG
72.8
G
4.4
A
12.7
PPP
0.9
HIT
80.9
BLK
98.8
PIM
28.7

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 208 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among defencemen · 508 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 208 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 208 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.21
G
0.05
A
0.15
SOG
0.88
PPP
0.01
HIT
0.98
BLK
1.21
PIM
0.35

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26520990.173114:15
2024-256267130.217317:26
2023-244876130.276018:38
2022-2339411150.384016:18
2021-2271120.291317:11

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Apr 2 lineG 0/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Apr 16vs ANA000001018:37
Apr 13vs SJS100010017:25
Apr 11vs MIN000020016:20
Apr 9@ UTA200001219:43
Apr 7@ ANA000012017:33
Apr 6@ LAK100015022:00
Apr 4@ SJS000000017:22
Apr 2@ LAK101014015:18
Mar 29@ TBL101012014:22
Mar 28vs MTL000022014:10

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-263.10minus 3.1 goals above expected3150
2024-254.46plus 1.6 goals above expected50107
2023-244.27plus 2.8 goals above expected4192
2022-231.74plus 2.3 goals above expected2752
2021-220.71plus 0.3 goals above expected615

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-260 goals, 9 assists, 9 points0-0-00-0-0
2024-256 goals, 6 assists, 12 points0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2023-246 goals, 6 assists, 12 points1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2022-232 goals, 10 assists, 12 points1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point
2021-221 goal, 1 assist, 2 points0-0-00 goals, 0 assists, 0 points

Shot locations

50 attempts · 0 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (19)Shot on goal (31)Goal (0)

Markets · Apr 2

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
4%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
3%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.